AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Haiti
Projected
0:1
HT 0-0
Scotland
Haiti vs Scotland (Match 4, Group C) at BC Place on 13 Jun 2026: our model leans Scotland at 56% and projects 0-1 after 90 minutes.
Team details
Scotland are stronger in both attack (68/100) and defence (70/100), so the question is whether Haiti can disrupt their rhythm.
Expected shape 4-3-3
Haiti are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 shape, with an underdog squad that will rely on energy, direct running and set pieces. Their best unit in this match is the attack.
The key question is how they handle Scotland's territory and control of the midfield, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Expected shape 3-4-2-1
Scotland are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 shape, with a fiery midfield, a full-back who delivers quality crosses and strong set-piece work. Their best unit in this match is the midfield.
The key question is how they handle Haiti's chance quality and finishing, while protecting against turning possession into clear chances.
Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.
Prediction board
Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.
HAI win
19%
Draw
25%
SCO win
56%
Model lean
Both teams to score
49%
A clean sheet is a real possibility.
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Combined expected goals: 2.6.
Asian handicap
Scotland -0.75
Scotland carry the handicap on an expected goal gap of 0.8.
First-goal window
11–42'
Busiest goal spell: 31–45'. Chance of 0-0: 7%.
At a glance
AI overview
Scotland get the heavy nod at 56%, with Haiti at 19% and the draw at 25%. It is a lean, not a lock.
BC Place hosts Haiti against Scotland in Match 4, Group C, number 4 of 36 in this part of the schedule. It is listed for Saturday 13 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.
Scotland are stronger in both attack (68/100) and defence (70/100), so the question is whether Haiti can disrupt their rhythm. Two names that could tilt it are Derrick Etienne for Haiti and Lyndon Dykes for Scotland.
BC Place is a roofed stadium with a retractable lid, so conditions are cool, dry and controlled. Our model projects 0-1 at full time on expected goals of 0.9 for Haiti and 1.7 for Scotland, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 11–42.
Win probability
Haiti 19%, draw 25%, Scotland 56% over 90 minutes. The heavy gap leaves room for a surprise.
Model lean
Scotland
56% to win · 37-point gap
The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for BC Place. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
Scotland's strongest unit is territory and control of the midfield, and Haiti's weakest point is space behind the back line. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.
Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.
Impact names
Six names our model expects to shape Haiti vs Scotland, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.
Haiti
Striker
Duckens Nazon
Target for crosses and cut-backs
Anytime scorer26%
Haiti
Winger
Derrick Etienne
Supplies the crosses
Anytime scorer16%
Haiti
Midfielder
Johann Bonose
Wins the second ball
Anytime scorer7%
Scotland
Midfielder
John McGinn
Controls territory
Anytime scorer13%
Scotland
Striker
Lyndon Dykes
Target for crosses and cut-backs
Anytime scorer44%
Scotland
Left-back
Andrew Robertson
Two-way runner down the flank
Anytime scorer7%
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.
Scoreboard model
Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Haiti vs Scotland, built from expected goals of 0.9 for Haiti and 1.7 for Scotland.
Projected scoreboard
Full time
0-1
Half time
0-0
Likeliest scorelines
Half-time result: Haiti 17%, draw 42%, Scotland 41%.
| Team stat | Haiti | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Possession | 35% | 65% |
| Shots | 5–7 | 12–14 |
| Shots on target | 2–3 | 4–5 |
| Clean sheet | 41% | 18% |
Half-time result first, full-time result second.
Total expected goals: 2.6.
Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.
What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.
A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.
Model split: Haiti 19%, draw 25%, Scotland 56%.
How this market worksYes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.
Model: Yes 49%, No 51%. Clean sheet: Haiti 41%, Scotland 18%.
How this market worksA line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.
Model: Over 2.5 48%, Under 2.5 52%. Over 1.5 74%, Over 3.5 26%.
How this market worksBacks the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.
Likeliest: SCO / SCO 35%, then Draw / SCO 19%.
How this market worksGives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.
Model line: Scotland -0.75.
How this market worksA player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.
Lyndon Dykes leads our list at 44%, then Duckens Nazon (26%) and Derrick Etienne (16%).
How this market worksThe case for this match
Haiti keep it interesting
Scotland are ahead at 56%, but Haiti have enough in their chance quality and finishing to make the market move quickly.
Match 4 in the FIFA World Cup 2026
Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.
First goal around minutes 11–42
The model expects the opener between minutes 11–42, and the busiest spell for goals is 31–45. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.
Depth of markets
A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Match ticket
About this fixture: Haiti vs Scotland at BC Place.
BC Place in Vancouver is a roofed stadium with a retractable lid, so conditions are cool, dry and controlled.
Conditions are controlled or cool, so the pace of the game should hold up for the full 90 minutes.
Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.
Keep following
More football fixtures from the schedule, starting with games that involve these teams.
Haiti vs Brazil
SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
View matchGermany vs Ghana
Gillette Stadium, Boston
View matchFrance vs Senegal
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
View matchArgentina vs Ivory Coast
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
View matchRead before you follow
Events
There's no Dream11 football XI for a World Cup final on Gold365 — just real 1X2 and totals markets on whichever final fixture is actually scheduled.
Guide
Football on Gold365 is the same OTP ID with the football list open: 1X2, totals, live markets where marked — no second ID, no weekly salary.
Events
Knockout football on Gold365: 90 minutes versus extra time versus to-qualify markets. Watch the stream before going live — no fake bracket predictions.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model leans Scotland at 56% against Haiti at 19%, with the draw at 25%. It is a heavy lean based on team ratings and conditions at BC Place, and it is not a guarantee.
The model projects 0-1 at full time and 0-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 0-1 (12%) and 0-2 (11%).
The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is SCO / SCO at 35%. Both teams to score is 49%, Over 2.5 goals is 48% and combined expected goals are 2.6.
Our watchlist has Duckens Nazon (Haiti, striker), Derrick Etienne (Haiti, winger), Johann Bonose (Haiti, midfielder), John McGinn (Scotland, midfielder), Lyndon Dykes (Scotland, striker), Andrew Robertson (Scotland, left-back). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.
It is listed for Saturday 13 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India, at BC Place, Vancouver.
Haiti are modelled in a 4-3-3 and Scotland in a 3-4-2-1. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.
The model expects the first goal between minutes 11–42, with 31–45 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 7%.
Yes. Neither Haiti nor Scotland is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.
The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
