AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Germany
Projected
2:1
HT 1-0
Ghana
Germany vs Ghana (Match 5, Group E) at Gillette Stadium on 13 Jun 2026: our model leans Germany at 54% and projects 2-1 after 90 minutes.
Team details
Germany are stronger in both attack (87/100) and defence (82/100), so the question is whether Ghana can disrupt their rhythm.
Expected shape 4-2-3-1
Germany are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with fluid, positionally rotating attackers, a busy midfield and a high defensive line. Their best unit in this match is the midfield.
The key question is how they handle Ghana's chance quality and finishing, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Expected shape 4-2-3-1
Ghana are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with pace and power in attack, but a back line that can be pulled around by quick passing. Their best unit in this match is the attack.
The key question is how they handle Germany's territory and control of the midfield, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.
Prediction board
Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.
GER win
54%
Model lean
Draw
24%
GHA win
22%
Both teams to score
56%
Goals at both ends look likely.
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Combined expected goals: 2.9.
Asian handicap
Germany -0.75
Germany carry the handicap on an expected goal gap of 0.7.
First-goal window
9–39'
Busiest goal spell: 16–30'. Chance of 0-0: 6%.
At a glance
AI overview
Germany get the clear nod at 54%, with Ghana at 22% and the draw at 24%. It is a lean, not a lock.
Germany face Ghana in Match 5, Group E of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at Gillette Stadium, Boston. It is listed for Saturday 13 June 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 ET, which is 12:30 am IST (14 Jun) in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.
Germany are stronger in both attack (87/100) and defence (82/100), so the question is whether Ghana can disrupt their rhythm. Two names that could tilt it are Jamal Musiala for Germany and Mohammed Kudus for Ghana.
Gillette Stadium is an open-air stadium where the evening breeze can be a factor in the second half. Our model projects 2-1 at full time on expected goals of 1.8 for Germany and 1.1 for Ghana, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 9–39.
Win probability
Germany 54%, draw 24%, Ghana 22% over 90 minutes. The clear gap leaves room for a surprise.
Model lean
Germany
54% to win · 32-point gap
The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for Gillette Stadium. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
Germany's strongest unit is territory and control of the midfield, and Ghana's weakest point is space behind the back line. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.
Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.
Impact names
Six names our model expects to shape Germany vs Ghana, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.
Germany
Attacking Midfielder
Jamal Musiala
Set-piece and final-pass threat
Anytime scorer28%
Germany
Forward
Kai Havertz
Runs in behind the back line
Anytime scorer42%
Germany
Midfielder
Joshua Kimmich
Wins the second ball
Anytime scorer13%
Ghana
Forward
Mohammed Kudus
Threat on the counter
Anytime scorer27%
Ghana
Midfielder
Thomas Partey
Wins the second ball
Anytime scorer8%
Ghana
Winger
Iñaki Williams
Cuts inside to shoot
Anytime scorer19%
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.
Scoreboard model
Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Germany vs Ghana, built from expected goals of 1.8 for Germany and 1.1 for Ghana.
Projected scoreboard
Full time
2-1
Half time
1-0
Likeliest scorelines
Half-time result: Germany 40%, draw 40%, Ghana 20%.
| Team stat | Germany | Ghana |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Shots | 12–14 | 7–9 |
| Shots on target | 4–5 | 3–4 |
| Clean sheet | 17% | 34% |
Half-time result first, full-time result second.
Total expected goals: 2.9.
Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.
What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.
A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.
Model split: Germany 54%, draw 24%, Ghana 22%.
How this market worksYes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.
Model: Yes 56%, No 44%. Clean sheet: Germany 17%, Ghana 34%.
How this market worksA line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.
Model: Over 2.5 54%, Under 2.5 46%. Over 1.5 79%, Over 3.5 32%.
How this market worksBacks the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.
Likeliest: GER / GER 33%, then Draw / GER 17%.
How this market worksGives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.
Model line: Germany -0.75.
How this market worksA player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.
Kai Havertz leads our list at 42%, then Jamal Musiala (28%) and Mohammed Kudus (27%).
How this market worksThe case for this match
Ghana keep it interesting
Germany are ahead at 54%, but Ghana have enough in their chance quality and finishing to make the market move quickly.
Match 5 in the FIFA World Cup 2026
Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.
First goal around minutes 9–39
The model expects the opener between minutes 9–39, and the busiest spell for goals is 16–30. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.
Depth of markets
A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Match ticket
About this fixture: Germany vs Ghana at Gillette Stadium.
Gillette Stadium in Boston is an open-air stadium where the evening breeze can be a factor in the second half.
Conditions look reasonable, so tactics and quality should matter more than the weather.
Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.
Keep following
More football fixtures from the schedule, starting with games that involve these teams.
Germany vs Japan
Gillette Stadium, Boston
View matchGermany vs Senegal
BC Place, Vancouver
View matchGermany vs Portugal
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
View matchGermany vs Netherlands
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
View matchRead before you follow
Events
There's no Dream11 football XI for a World Cup final on Gold365 — just real 1X2 and totals markets on whichever final fixture is actually scheduled.
Guide
Football on Gold365 is the same OTP ID with the football list open: 1X2, totals, live markets where marked — no second ID, no weekly salary.
Events
Knockout football on Gold365: 90 minutes versus extra time versus to-qualify markets. Watch the stream before going live — no fake bracket predictions.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model leans Germany at 54% against Ghana at 22%, with the draw at 24%. It is a clear lean based on team ratings and conditions at Gillette Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.
The model projects 2-1 at full time and 1-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (10%).
The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is GER / GER at 33%. Both teams to score is 56%, Over 2.5 goals is 54% and combined expected goals are 2.9.
Our watchlist has Jamal Musiala (Germany, attacking midfielder), Kai Havertz (Germany, forward), Joshua Kimmich (Germany, midfielder), Mohammed Kudus (Ghana, forward), Thomas Partey (Ghana, midfielder), Iñaki Williams (Ghana, winger). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.
It is listed for Saturday 13 June 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 ET, which is 12:30 am IST (14 Jun) in India, at Gillette Stadium, Boston.
Germany are modelled in a 4-2-3-1 and Ghana in a 4-2-3-1. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.
The model expects the first goal between minutes 9–39, with 16–30 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 6%.
Yes. Neither Germany nor Ghana is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.
The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
Cannot find what you need? Our official WhatsApp desk replies with your ID and a screenshot.
Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
