AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Argentina
Projected
1:0
HT 0-0
Ivory Coast
Argentina vs Ivory Coast (Match 7, Group G) at Hard Rock Stadium on 14 Jun 2026: our model leans Argentina at 54% and projects 1-0 after 90 minutes.
Team details
Argentina are stronger in both attack (90/100) and defence (87/100), so the question is whether Ivory Coast can disrupt their rhythm.
Expected shape 4-3-3
Argentina are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 shape, with a compact, well-drilled unit that presses together and leans on a playmaker who finds the final pass. Their best unit in this match is the attack.
The key question is how they handle Ivory Coast's chance quality and finishing, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Expected shape 4-3-3
Ivory Coast are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 shape, with physical midfielders, direct wide players and a striker who wins aerial duels. Their best unit in this match is the attack.
The key question is how they handle Argentina's chance quality and finishing, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.
Prediction board
Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.
ARG win
54%
Model lean
Draw
25%
CIV win
21%
Both teams to score
54%
A clean sheet is a real possibility.
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Combined expected goals: 2.8.
Asian handicap
Argentina -0.75
Argentina carry the handicap on an expected goal gap of 0.8.
First-goal window
11–43'
Busiest goal spell: 76–90'. Chance of 0-0: 6%.
At a glance
AI overview
Argentina get the clear nod at 54%, with Ivory Coast at 21% and the draw at 25%. It is a lean, not a lock.
Argentina face Ivory Coast in Match 7, Group G of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami. It is listed for Sunday 14 June 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 ET, which is 3:30 am IST (15 Jun) in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.
Argentina are stronger in both attack (90/100) and defence (87/100), so the question is whether Ivory Coast can disrupt their rhythm. Two names that could tilt it are Julián Álvarez for Argentina and Sébastien Haller for Ivory Coast.
Hard Rock Stadium is a canopy-covered stadium with an open pitch, where heat and humidity are the main talking point. Our model projects 1-0 at full time on expected goals of 1.8 for Argentina and 1.0 for Ivory Coast, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 11–43.
Win probability
Argentina 54%, draw 25%, Ivory Coast 21% over 90 minutes. It is a clear lean, and team news can move it.
Model lean
Argentina
54% to win · 33-point gap
The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for Hard Rock Stadium. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
Argentina's strongest unit is chance quality and finishing, and Ivory Coast's weakest point is space behind the back line. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.
Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.
Impact names
Six names our model expects to shape Argentina vs Ivory Coast, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.
Argentina
Attacking Midfielder
Lionel Messi
Late runner into the box
Anytime scorer27%
Argentina
Striker
Julián Álvarez
Runs the channels and finishes
Anytime scorer45%
Argentina
Midfielder
Rodrigo De Paul
Controls territory
Anytime scorer13%
Ivory Coast
Striker
Sébastien Haller
Main goal threat in the box
Anytime scorer29%
Ivory Coast
Midfielder
Franck Kessié
Sets the tempo
Anytime scorer8%
Ivory Coast
Winger
Nicolas Pépé
Cuts inside to shoot
Anytime scorer18%
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.
Scoreboard model
Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Argentina vs Ivory Coast, built from expected goals of 1.8 for Argentina and 1.0 for Ivory Coast.
Projected scoreboard
Full time
1-0
Half time
0-0
Likeliest scorelines
Half-time result: Argentina 40%, draw 41%, Ivory Coast 19%.
| Team stat | Argentina | Ivory Coast |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Shots | 11–13 | 7–9 |
| Shots on target | 4–5 | 3–4 |
| Clean sheet | 17% | 36% |
Half-time result first, full-time result second.
Total expected goals: 2.8.
Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.
What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.
A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.
Model split: Argentina 54%, draw 25%, Ivory Coast 21%.
How this market worksYes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.
Model: Yes 54%, No 46%. Clean sheet: Argentina 17%, Ivory Coast 36%.
How this market worksA line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.
Model: Over 2.5 52%, Under 2.5 48%. Over 1.5 77%, Over 3.5 30%.
How this market worksBacks the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.
Likeliest: ARG / ARG 33%, then Draw / ARG 18%.
How this market worksGives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.
Model line: Argentina -0.75.
How this market worksA player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.
Julián Álvarez leads our list at 45%, then Sébastien Haller (29%) and Lionel Messi (27%).
How this market worksThe case for this match
Ivory Coast keep it interesting
Argentina are ahead at 54%, but Ivory Coast have enough in their chance quality and finishing to make the market move quickly.
Match 7 in the FIFA World Cup 2026
Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.
First goal around minutes 11–43
The model expects the opener between minutes 11–43, and the busiest spell for goals is 76–90. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.
Depth of markets
A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Match ticket
About this fixture: Argentina vs Ivory Coast at Hard Rock Stadium.
Hard Rock Stadium in Miami is a canopy-covered stadium with an open pitch, where heat and humidity are the main talking point.
Heat and humidity are a real factor here, so expect cooling breaks and a slower pace late in each half.
Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.
Keep following
More football fixtures from the schedule, starting with games that involve these teams.
Argentina vs Netherlands
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
View matchArgentina vs England
Akron Stadium, Guadalajara
View matchArgentina vs France
AT&T Stadium, Dallas
View matchBrazil vs Argentina
Gillette Stadium, Boston
View matchRead before you follow
Events
There's no Dream11 football XI for a World Cup final on Gold365 — just real 1X2 and totals markets on whichever final fixture is actually scheduled.
Guide
Football on Gold365 is the same OTP ID with the football list open: 1X2, totals, live markets where marked — no second ID, no weekly salary.
Events
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Answers
Our model leans Argentina at 54% against Ivory Coast at 21%, with the draw at 25%. It is a clear lean based on team ratings and conditions at Hard Rock Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.
The model projects 1-0 at full time and 0-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%).
The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is ARG / ARG at 33%. Both teams to score is 54%, Over 2.5 goals is 52% and combined expected goals are 2.8.
Our watchlist has Lionel Messi (Argentina, attacking midfielder), Julián Álvarez (Argentina, striker), Rodrigo De Paul (Argentina, midfielder), Sébastien Haller (Ivory Coast, striker), Franck Kessié (Ivory Coast, midfielder), Nicolas Pépé (Ivory Coast, winger). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.
It is listed for Sunday 14 June 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 ET, which is 3:30 am IST (15 Jun) in India, at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami.
Argentina are modelled in a 4-3-3 and Ivory Coast in a 4-3-3. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.
The model expects the first goal between minutes 11–43, with 76–90 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 6%.
Yes. Neither Argentina nor Ivory Coast is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.
The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
