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Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.

Tennis · WTA · Quarter-finalsWTA 500clayProjected pairing

Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaCharleston Open WTA Quarter-finals: prediction, predicted score & key players

Coco Gauff

Win probability

61%

vs

Elena Rybakina

Win probability

39%

Gauff 61%39% Rybakina
Predicted score
6–4, 7–5

2–0

Start
Order of play TBC
Venue
Charleston
Format
Best of 3

clay

Apr 202601WedQuarter-finals

Charleston Open WTA Quarter-finals on 1 Apr 2026: our projection has Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina, with Coco Gauff the 61% favourite and a predicted score of 6–4, 7–5.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

Coco Gauff is the projected favourite at 61% over Elena Rybakina (39%) in the Charleston Open WTA Quarter-finals. It is a modest lean, not a lock.

Lean: Coco GauffCourt: clayFormat: best of 3Tie-break: 30%

The Charleston Open WTA (WTA 500) reaches the Quarter-finals on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at Credit One Stadium. A WTA 500 on green clay, which plays a little quicker than the red clay of Europe.

Our projection has Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina as the headline match of the Quarter-finals. It comes from a projected bracket built on our reference player pool, not from the official draw, so the confirmed pairing can differ. Eight are left in the event, and the four winners go through to the semi-finals.

Coco Gauff is an athletic defender with a big serve and a growing attacking game. Elena Rybakina is a big flat server with clean ball-striking that suits faster courts. On slow, high-bouncing clay, our model leans Coco Gauff, mainly through surface fit.

Match ticket

Match details

Date
Wednesday 1 April 2026
Tournament
Charleston Open WTA
Round
Quarter-finals
Category
WTA 500
Venue
Charleston, USA
Main court
Credit One Stadium, Daniel Island
Surface
clay (slow pace)
Format
Singles, best of three sets
Ranking points
500 ranking points
Tour
WTA tour
Projected pairing
Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina (projection, not the official draw)

Pairings are projected. The official draw and any withdrawals decide the real match.

Projected line-up

Charleston Open WTA Quarter-finals predictions

Projected quarter-finals pairings from our bracket model, with the headline match first. Percentages are for the first-named player.

  1. Coco GauffUSAKAZElena Rybakina
    61%39%
  2. Iga SwiatekPOLCZEBarbora Krejcikova
    85%15%
  3. Aryna SabalenkaBLRUSAEmma Navarro
    83%17%
  4. Jasmine PaoliniITAESPPaula Badosa
    71%29%

Projected title favourite for this event: Iga Swiatek.

These pairings are projections from our reference player pool, not the official draw.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

We compare Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina on four factors: fit for clay, serve, return and recent form. The combined lean is Coco Gauff at 61%.

Model lean

Coco Gauff

61% to win · 22-point gap

Gauff 61%39% Rybakina

Coco Gauff is the modest pick because of a clear edge in surface fit. Elena Rybakina keeps a 39% chance, mostly through serve and match-day variance.

Projected pairing: this comes from our reference player pool, so treat it as the shape of the round, not a confirmed order of play. The official draw and any withdrawals decide the real match.

Slow, high-bouncing clay conditions favour patient baseliners and return games, which widens the gap between the two players' styles.

Coco GauffElena Rybakina
  • 64Surface fitRated on clay36
  • 27ServeFirst-serve weapon and hold games73
  • 64ReturnBreak-point pressure36
  • 57Recent formLevel over recent events43

Impact names

Key players to watch

Four names our model expects to matter in this round on clay: the two headline players and the next-best names from the projected bracket.

  • United States

    WTA

    Coco Gauff

    Defence · Athletic

    Impact77%

  • Kazakhstan

    WTA

    Elena Rybakina

    Big serve · Grass

    Impact71%

  • Poland

    WTA

    Iga Swiatek

    Clay · Topspin

    Impact81%

  • Belarus

    WTA

    Aryna Sabalenka

    Power · Big serve

    Impact78%

Names, countries and playing styles are real. Impact scores are a model reference. They are not a confirmed draw or line-up, so check the official order of play close to the match.

Scoreboard model

Predicted score & set markets

Coco Gauff is projected to beat Elena Rybakina 2–0, 6–4, 7–5. The next table shows how the set and games markets line up around that call.

Predicted score

6–4, 7–5

Coco Gauff to beat Elena Rybakina in 2–0

Every figure is an indicative model, not a live price. Sets and games are derived from a best of three sets format on clay.

Set score probability

  • Gauff 2–032.9%
  • Gauff 2–128.1%
  • Rybakina 2–120.8%
  • Rybakina 2–018.2%

  • Total games

    20–26

    Line 23.5. Average 23.3 games.

  • Tie-break

    30%

    About 13% per set.

  • Total aces

    10–15

    Gauff ~5, Rybakina ~8.

  • Match length

    1h 55m–2h 27m

    About 2.5 sets expected.

Model lean for each tennis market
MarketModel leanWhy
Match winnerCoco Gauff 61%modest lean over Elena Rybakina (39%).
Set bettingCoco Gauff 2–02–0 for Gauff carries 33%. A deciding set is 49%.
Total gamesUnder 23.5Model average is 23.3 games, in a range of 20–26.
Games handicapGauff −1.5Gauff is projected to win by about 2 more games than Rybakina.
Tie-break in matchNo 70%About 13% per set on clay.
First set winnerGauff 57%Rybakina takes at least one set 67% of the time.
Total aces10–15Gauff about 5, Rybakina about 8.
Match length1h 55m–2h 27mBased on 2.5 sets at clay pace.

Popular tennis betting markets

The markets followers look at most for this match, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.

  • Match winner

    Back the player or nation you expect to win the match, whatever the score.

    Model lean: Coco Gauff at 61%.

    How this market works

  • Set betting

    Pick the exact set score of a best of three sets match, such as 2–0.

    Most likely: Gauff 2–0, then a deciding set at 49%.

    How this market works

  • Total games

    Bet over or under a games line. Close, serve-led matches push the total up.

    Under 23.5 at a 23.3-game average.

    How this market works

  • Games handicap

    Give or take games to level up a mismatch, so the favourite has to win by a margin.

    Gauff −1.5 sits near the model's margin.

    How this market works

  • Tie-break market

    Predict whether any set reaches 6–6 and needs a tie-break.

    30% for at least one tie-break in the match.

    How this market works

  • Live tennis markets

    Prices move point by point, so first-set and break-of-serve lines can swing quickly.

    Rybakina steals a set 67% of the time, which is why live lines matter.

    How this market works

The case for this match

Why bet this match?

  • A live contest, not a formality

    Our lean is modest, so the market has two credible outcomes and the price for Elena Rybakina is worth watching.

  • The court shapes the markets

    Slow, high-bouncing clay. It moves the total games line and the tie-break chance (30%), so surface reading is part of the edge.

  • Depth of markets

    Winner, set score, total games, handicap, tie-break, aces and first-set lines all exist for a WTA 500 quarter-finals, so you can pick the one that matches what you actually think.

  • Live pricing

    A best of three sets match has many turning points. Break points and set momentum move live prices, and our model shows a 67% chance the underdog takes a set.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

Fixture guide

About Charleston Open WTA Quarter-finals

The Charleston Open WTA is a WTA 500 event, worth 500 ranking points to the champion. A WTA 500 on green clay, which plays a little quicker than the red clay of Europe.

The Quarter-finals is played on clay at Credit One Stadium, Daniel Island. Players start with the opening fixture listed, and the Semi-finals follows on 3 Apr 2026.

Our schedule lists 3 rounds for this event: Quarter-finals on 1 Apr 2026, Semi-finals on 3 Apr 2026, Final on 5 Apr 2026. Order of play is published by the tournament the day before and can change with weather.

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Answers

Questions about Gauff vs Rybakina

  1. The Quarter-finals is listed for Wednesday 1 April 2026. Our schedule shows 3 rounds for this event: Quarter-finals on 1 Apr 2026, Semi-finals on 3 Apr 2026, Final on 5 Apr 2026.

  2. Our model leans Coco Gauff at 61%, with Elena Rybakina at 39%. This is a projection built on a reference player pool, not the official draw, and it is not a guarantee of the result.

  3. Coco Gauff is projected to win 2–0, 6–4, 7–5. Straight sets carry 51% and a deciding set 49%.

  4. The Quarter-finals is held in Charleston, USA, with the main court at Credit One Stadium, Daniel Island. The surface is clay, which plays slow, so rallies run longer.

  5. Singles matches are best of three sets. Eight are left in the event, and the four winners go through to the semi-finals.

  6. No. Pairings are set by the official draw, which is not part of our schedule data. We show a projected pairing from our reference player pool so you can see the shape of the round. Check the tournament's order of play for the confirmed match.

  7. Coco Gauff (USA), Elena Rybakina (KAZ), Iga Swiatek (POL), Aryna Sabalenka (BLR). These are reference names from our model and not confirmed line-ups.

  8. Common markets are match winner, set betting, total games, games handicap, tie-break, first-set winner and total aces. Prices move live, and our figures here are model references only.

  9. The champion earns 500 ranking points. The Quarter-finals winner moves a step closer to that total.

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Pairings are a projection from our reference player pool and are not the official draw. Percentages, projected scores and impact figures are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the tournament. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.

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