AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
England
Projected
298–346
India
Projected
300–348
England vs India (1st ODI) at Edgbaston on 14 Jul 2026: our model leans India at 61% on a balanced surface, with a projected first-innings total of 300–348.
At a glance
AI overview
India get the nod at 61% in this 1st ODI, with England at 39%. It is a clear lean, not a lock.
Edgbaston hosts England against India in the 1st ODI, number 6 in an 8-match India tour of England, 2026. It is listed for Tuesday 14 July 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. England have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better. Edgbaston is a loud, full ground with good carry, where 300-plus totals are not unusual, so we expect a balanced surface with a first-innings score around 300–348 for India and 298–346 for England.
Summer cloud is common, and a damp start can bring seam and swing before the surface flattens. The toss lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
England 39%, India 61%. The clear gap leaves room for an upset.
Model lean
India
61% to win · 22-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Edgbaston and England's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a true surface, India's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on balanced conditions.
England
All-rounder
Liam Livingstone
Finisher with the ball in hand
England
Wicketkeeper
Jos Buttler
Top-order stability
India
Batter
Shubman Gill
Middle-order finisher
India
Fast bowler
Mohammed Shami
Middle-overs enforcer
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 50-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | England | India |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–10 | 57–65 | 57–66 |
| Middle oversOvers 11–40 | 156–180 | 157–180 |
| Death oversOvers 41–50 | 85–101 | 86–102 |
| First innings | 298–346 | 300–348 |
Overs bowled
After 10 overs
ENG 61IND 61
After 40 overs
ENG 229IND 230
After 50 overs
ENG 322IND 324
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Edgbaston. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better.
England come in with an aggressive, front-foot batting group and a pace attack that likes helpful conditions. In this ODI, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Edgbaston is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle India's batting depth.
India come in with a deep batting order, high-quality spin and a pace attack that peaks with the new ball. In this ODI, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Edgbaston is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle England's batting depth.
Edgbaston is a loud, full ground with good carry, where 300-plus totals are not unusual. Our surface tag for this match is balanced, with a scoring index of 4 out of 5.
Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Summer cloud is common, and a damp start can bring seam and swing before the surface flattens.
Venue: Edgbaston, Birmingham. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for England vs India, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: England 39%, India 61%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bowl first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 10 overs.
England 57–65, India 57–66.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
England 298–346, India 300–348.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Liam Livingstone and Jos Buttler are on our watchlist for England.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
England usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Edgbaston is tagged balanced. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bowl first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 57–65 for England and 57–66 for India, and the death overs at 85–101 and 86–102.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Liam Livingstone or Shubman Gill, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
England keep it interesting
India are ahead at 61%, but England have enough in their batting depth to make the market move quickly.
Match 6 of 8 in the India tour of England
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.
Balanced conditions add an edge
On a balanced surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A ODI at Edgbaston normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Same series
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Answers
Our model leans India at 61% against England at 39%, a clear lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Edgbaston, and it is not a guarantee.
Edgbaston is a loud, full ground with good carry, where 300-plus totals are not unusual. We tag it balanced with a scoring index of 4 out of 5. Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Our model projects England at 298–346 and India at 300–348 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
It is listed for Tuesday 14 July 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Edgbaston, Birmingham. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Liam Livingstone (England, finisher with the ball in hand), Jos Buttler (England, top-order stability), Shubman Gill (India, middle-order finisher), Mohammed Shami (India, middle-overs enforcer). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
England play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
An ODI gives each side 50 overs. The middle overs shape the platform and the final ten decide close games.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
