AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Austria
Projected
1:0
HT 0-0
Tunisia
Austria vs Tunisia (Match 24, Group L) at MetLife Stadium on 23 Jun 2026: our model leans Austria at 45% and projects 1-0 after 90 minutes.
Team details
Austria are stronger in both attack (76/100) and defence (76/100), so the question is whether Tunisia can disrupt their rhythm.
Expected shape 4-2-2-2
Austria are expected to line up in a 4-2-2-2 shape, with an intense pressing side that wins the ball high and attacks quickly. Their best unit in this match is the midfield.
The key question is how they handle Tunisia's a compact, organised back line, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Expected shape 4-3-3
Tunisia are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 shape, with a compact block, patient build-up and a side that stays organised for 90 minutes. Their best unit in this match is the defence.
The key question is how they handle Austria's territory and control of the midfield, while protecting against turning possession into clear chances.
Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.
Prediction board
Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.
AUT win
45%
Model lean
Draw
28%
TUN win
27%
Both teams to score
51%
A clean sheet is a real possibility.
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Combined expected goals: 2.5.
Asian handicap
Austria -0.5
Austria carry the handicap on an expected goal gap of 0.4.
First-goal window
11–45'
Busiest goal spell: 61–75'. Chance of 0-0: 8%.
At a glance
AI overview
Austria get the modest nod at 45%, with Tunisia at 27% and the draw at 28%. It is a lean, not a lock.
Austria face Tunisia in Match 24, Group L of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. It is listed for Tuesday 23 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.
Austria are stronger in both attack (76/100) and defence (76/100), so the question is whether Tunisia can disrupt their rhythm. Two names that could tilt it are David Alaba for Austria and Issam Jebali for Tunisia.
MetLife Stadium is a huge open-air stadium with a neutral atmosphere and a large pitch. Our model projects 1-0 at full time on expected goals of 1.5 for Austria and 1.1 for Tunisia, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 11–45.
Win probability
Austria 45%, draw 28%, Tunisia 27% over 90 minutes. It is a modest lean, and team news can move it.
Model lean
Austria
45% to win · 18-point gap
The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for MetLife Stadium. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
Austria's strongest unit is territory and control of the midfield, and Tunisia's weakest point is turning possession into clear chances. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.
Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.
Impact names
Six names our model expects to shape Austria vs Tunisia, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.
Austria
Midfielder
Marcel Sabitzer
Wins the second ball
Anytime scorer11%
Austria
Striker
Marko Arnautović
Target for crosses and cut-backs
Anytime scorer39%
Austria
Centre-back
David Alaba
Anchor of the back line
Anytime scorer7%
Tunisia
Winger
Youssef Msakni
Beats his man one-on-one
Anytime scorer19%
Tunisia
Striker
Issam Jebali
Main goal threat in the box
Anytime scorer30%
Tunisia
Centre-back
Dylan Bronn
Anchor of the back line
Anytime scorer5%
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.
Scoreboard model
Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Austria vs Tunisia, built from expected goals of 1.5 for Austria and 1.1 for Tunisia.
Projected scoreboard
Full time
1-0
Half time
0-0
Likeliest scorelines
Half-time result: Austria 34%, draw 44%, Tunisia 22%.
| Team stat | Austria | Tunisia |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Shots | 10–12 | 7–9 |
| Shots on target | 4–5 | 3–4 |
| Clean sheet | 24% | 35% |
Half-time result first, full-time result second.
Total expected goals: 2.5.
Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.
What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.
A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.
Model split: Austria 45%, draw 28%, Tunisia 27%.
How this market worksYes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.
Model: Yes 51%, No 49%. Clean sheet: Austria 24%, Tunisia 35%.
How this market worksA line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.
Model: Over 2.5 45%, Under 2.5 55%. Over 1.5 72%, Over 3.5 24%.
How this market worksBacks the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.
Likeliest: AUT / AUT 27%, then Draw / Draw 18%.
How this market worksGives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.
Model line: Austria -0.5.
How this market worksA player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.
Marko Arnautović leads our list at 39%, then Issam Jebali (30%) and Youssef Msakni (19%).
How this market worksThe case for this match
Tunisia keep it interesting
Austria are ahead at 45%, but Tunisia have enough in their a compact, organised back line to make the market move quickly.
Match 24 in the FIFA World Cup 2026
Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.
First goal around minutes 11–45
The model expects the opener between minutes 11–45, and the busiest spell for goals is 61–75. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.
Depth of markets
A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Match ticket
About this fixture: Austria vs Tunisia at MetLife Stadium.
MetLife Stadium in New York area is a huge open-air stadium with a neutral atmosphere and a large pitch.
Conditions look reasonable, so tactics and quality should matter more than the weather.
Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.
Keep following
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BC Place, Vancouver
View matchHaiti vs Brazil
SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
View matchRead before you follow
Events
There's no Dream11 football XI for a World Cup final on Gold365 — just real 1X2 and totals markets on whichever final fixture is actually scheduled.
Guide
Football on Gold365 is the same OTP ID with the football list open: 1X2, totals, live markets where marked — no second ID, no weekly salary.
Events
Knockout football on Gold365: 90 minutes versus extra time versus to-qualify markets. Watch the stream before going live — no fake bracket predictions.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model leans Austria at 45% against Tunisia at 27%, with the draw at 28%. It is a modest lean based on team ratings and conditions at MetLife Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.
The model projects 1-0 at full time and 0-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%).
The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is AUT / AUT at 27%. Both teams to score is 51%, Over 2.5 goals is 45% and combined expected goals are 2.5.
Our watchlist has Marcel Sabitzer (Austria, midfielder), Marko Arnautović (Austria, striker), David Alaba (Austria, centre-back), Youssef Msakni (Tunisia, winger), Issam Jebali (Tunisia, striker), Dylan Bronn (Tunisia, centre-back). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.
It is listed for Tuesday 23 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.
Austria are modelled in a 4-2-2-2 and Tunisia in a 4-3-3. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.
The model expects the first goal between minutes 11–45, with 61–75 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 8%.
Yes. Neither Austria nor Tunisia is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.
The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
