AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Denmark
Projected
1:0
HT 0-0
Austria
Denmark vs Austria (Match 36, Group L) at MetLife Stadium on 29 Jun 2026: our model leans Denmark at 37% and projects 1-0 after 90 minutes.
Team details
Denmark are stronger in both attack (76/100) and defence (78/100), so the question is whether Austria can disrupt their rhythm.
Expected shape 4-3-3
Denmark are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 shape, with a well-organised side with a creative midfield and a defence that keeps its shape. Their best unit in this match is the midfield.
The key question is how they handle Austria's territory and control of the midfield, while protecting against turning possession into clear chances.
Expected shape 4-2-2-2
Austria are expected to line up in a 4-2-2-2 shape, with an intense pressing side that wins the ball high and attacks quickly. Their best unit in this match is the midfield.
The key question is how they handle Denmark's territory and control of the midfield, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.
Prediction board
Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.
DEN win
37%
Model lean
Draw
29%
AUT win
34%
Both teams to score
52%
A clean sheet is a real possibility.
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Combined expected goals: 2.5.
Asian handicap
Level (0)
Draw no bet. The model sees the sides as evenly matched.
First-goal window
10–44'
Busiest goal spell: 76–90'. Chance of 0-0: 8%.
At a glance
AI overview
Denmark get the marginal nod at 37%, with Austria at 34% and the draw at 29%. It is a lean, not a lock.
Denmark face Austria in Match 36, Group L of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. It is listed for Monday 29 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.
Denmark are stronger in both attack (76/100) and defence (78/100), so the question is whether Austria can disrupt their rhythm. Two names that could tilt it are Christian Eriksen for Denmark and Marko Arnautović for Austria.
MetLife Stadium is a huge open-air stadium with a neutral atmosphere and a large pitch. Our model projects 1-0 at full time on expected goals of 1.3 for Denmark and 1.2 for Austria, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 10–44.
Win probability
Denmark 37%, draw 29%, Austria 34% over 90 minutes. It is a marginal lean, and team news can move it.
Model lean
Denmark
37% to win · 3-point gap
The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for MetLife Stadium. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
Denmark's strongest unit is territory and control of the midfield, and Austria's weakest point is space behind the back line. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.
Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.
Impact names
Six names our model expects to shape Denmark vs Austria, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.
Denmark
Attacking Midfielder
Christian Eriksen
Late runner into the box
Anytime scorer21%
Denmark
Striker
Rasmus Højlund
Runs the channels and finishes
Anytime scorer36%
Denmark
Centre-back
Andreas Christensen
Sweeps up behind the press
Anytime scorer6%
Austria
Midfielder
Marcel Sabitzer
Breaks up play
Anytime scorer9%
Austria
Striker
Marko Arnautović
Target for crosses and cut-backs
Anytime scorer34%
Austria
Centre-back
David Alaba
Anchor of the back line
Anytime scorer6%
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.
Scoreboard model
Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Denmark vs Austria, built from expected goals of 1.3 for Denmark and 1.2 for Austria.
Projected scoreboard
Full time
1-0
Half time
0-0
Likeliest scorelines
Half-time result: Denmark 29%, draw 44%, Austria 27%.
| Team stat | Denmark | Austria |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Possession | 51% | 49% |
| Shots | 9–11 | 8–10 |
| Shots on target | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Clean sheet | 28% | 29% |
Half-time result first, full-time result second.
Total expected goals: 2.5.
Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.
What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.
A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.
Model split: Denmark 37%, draw 29%, Austria 34%.
How this market worksYes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.
Model: Yes 52%, No 48%. Clean sheet: Denmark 28%, Austria 29%.
How this market worksA line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.
Model: Over 2.5 46%, Under 2.5 54%. Over 1.5 72%, Over 3.5 24%.
How this market worksBacks the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.
Likeliest: DEN / DEN 21%, then AUT / AUT 20%.
How this market worksGives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.
Model line: level (0), a draw-no-bet style market.
How this market worksA player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.
Rasmus Højlund leads our list at 36%, then Marko Arnautović (34%) and Christian Eriksen (21%).
How this market worksThe case for this match
A genuinely close contest
With Denmark at 37% and Austria at 34%, neither side is far ahead, so prices tend to move a lot on a single goal.
Match 36 in the FIFA World Cup 2026
Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.
First goal around minutes 10–44
The model expects the opener between minutes 10–44, and the busiest spell for goals is 76–90. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.
Depth of markets
A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Match ticket
About this fixture: Denmark vs Austria at MetLife Stadium.
MetLife Stadium in New York area is a huge open-air stadium with a neutral atmosphere and a large pitch.
Conditions look reasonable, so tactics and quality should matter more than the weather.
Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.
Keep following
More football fixtures from the schedule, starting with games that involve these teams.
Read before you follow
Events
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Guide
Football on Gold365 is the same OTP ID with the football list open: 1X2, totals, live markets where marked — no second ID, no weekly salary.
Events
Knockout football on Gold365: 90 minutes versus extra time versus to-qualify markets. Watch the stream before going live — no fake bracket predictions.
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Answers
Our model leans Denmark at 37% against Austria at 34%, with the draw at 29%. It is a marginal lean based on team ratings and conditions at MetLife Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.
The model projects 1-0 at full time and 0-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 1-0 (10%) and 0-1 (9%).
The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is DEN / DEN at 21%. Both teams to score is 52%, Over 2.5 goals is 46% and combined expected goals are 2.5.
Our watchlist has Christian Eriksen (Denmark, attacking midfielder), Rasmus Højlund (Denmark, striker), Andreas Christensen (Denmark, centre-back), Marcel Sabitzer (Austria, midfielder), Marko Arnautović (Austria, striker), David Alaba (Austria, centre-back). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.
It is listed for Monday 29 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.
Denmark are modelled in a 4-3-3 and Austria in a 4-2-2-2. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.
The model expects the first goal between minutes 10–44, with 76–90 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 8%.
Yes. Neither Denmark nor Austria is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.
The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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