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Football · Match 12 · Group L15:00 ET

Denmark vs Costa RicaDEN vs CRC Match 12 prediction, projected score & key players

Denmark

Projected

1:0

HT 0-0

Costa Rica

DEN 55%Draw 26%19% CRC
Kick-off
15:00 ET
12:30 am IST (18 Jun)
Venue
AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Model lean
Denmark · 55%
Jun 202617Wed

Denmark vs Costa Rica (Match 12, Group L) at AT&T Stadium on 17 Jun 2026: our model leans Denmark at 55% and projects 1-0 after 90 minutes.

Team details

Team details for Denmark vs Costa Rica

Denmark are stronger in both attack (76/100) and defence (78/100), so the question is whether Costa Rica can disrupt their rhythm.

Denmark

Expected shape 4-3-3

Attack76
Midfield79
Defence78
Strength
Territory and control of the midfield
Vulnerability
Turning possession into clear chances

Denmark are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 shape, with a well-organised side with a creative midfield and a defence that keeps its shape. Their best unit in this match is the midfield.

The key question is how they handle Costa Rica's a compact, organised back line, while protecting against turning possession into clear chances.

Costa Rica

Expected shape 5-4-1

Attack56
Midfield60
Defence62
Strength
A compact, organised back line
Vulnerability
Turning possession into clear chances

Costa Rica are expected to line up in a 5-4-1 shape, with a deep, compact block that defends in numbers and looks to hit on the counter. Their best unit in this match is the defence.

The key question is how they handle Denmark's territory and control of the midfield, while protecting against turning possession into clear chances.

Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.

Prediction board

Denmark vs Costa Rica prediction

Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.

DEN win

55%

Model lean

Draw

26%

CRC win

19%

Both teams to score

47%

A clean sheet is a real possibility.

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Combined expected goals: 2.5.

Asian handicap

Denmark -0.75

Denmark carry the handicap on an expected goal gap of 0.8.

First-goal window

11–41'

Busiest goal spell: 31–45'. Chance of 0-0: 8%.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

Denmark get the heavy nod at 55%, with Costa Rica at 19% and the draw at 26%. It is a lean, not a lock.

Lean: DenmarkProjected score: 1-0HT/FT: DEN / DENNeutral venue

Denmark face Costa Rica in Match 12, Group L of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at AT&T Stadium, Dallas. It is listed for Wednesday 17 June 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 ET, which is 12:30 am IST (18 Jun) in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.

Denmark are stronger in both attack (76/100) and defence (78/100), so the question is whether Costa Rica can disrupt their rhythm. Two names that could tilt it are Andreas Christensen for Denmark and Joel Campbell for Costa Rica.

AT&T Stadium is an air-conditioned, roofed stadium with a huge pitch and a fast surface. Our model projects 1-0 at full time on expected goals of 1.7 for Denmark and 0.9 for Costa Rica, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 11–41.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

Denmark 55%, draw 26%, Costa Rica 19% over 90 minutes. That is a heavy gap rather than a lock.

Model lean

Denmark

55% to win · 36-point gap

DEN 55%Draw 26%19% CRC

The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for AT&T Stadium. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.

Denmark's strongest unit is territory and control of the midfield, and Costa Rica's weakest point is turning possession into clear chances. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.

Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.

DenmarkCosta Rica
  • 58AttackChance creation and finishing42
  • 57Midfield controlTerritory, tempo and duels43
  • 56DefenceShape, aerial strength and keeping shots out44
  • 55Form & momentumOverall rating with a match-day adjustment45

Impact names

Key players to watch

Six names our model expects to shape Denmark vs Costa Rica, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.

Denmark

  • Denmark

    Attacking Midfielder

    Christian Eriksen

    Late runner into the box

    Impact86%

    Anytime scorer26%

  • Denmark

    Striker

    Rasmus Højlund

    Target for crosses and cut-backs

    Impact82%

    Anytime scorer43%

  • Denmark

    Centre-back

    Andreas Christensen

    Sweeps up behind the press

    Impact87%

    Anytime scorer8%

Costa Rica

  • Costa Rica

    Forward

    Joel Campbell

    Runs in behind the back line

    Impact84%

    Anytime scorer23%

  • Costa Rica

    Striker

    Manfred Ugalde

    Runs the channels and finishes

    Impact79%

    Anytime scorer25%

  • Costa Rica

    Centre-back

    Óscar Duarte

    Sweeps up behind the press

    Impact77%

    Anytime scorer4%

These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.

Scoreboard model

Projected score, HT/FT & goal markets

Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Denmark vs Costa Rica, built from expected goals of 1.7 for Denmark and 0.9 for Costa Rica.

Projected scoreboard

Full time

1-0

Half time

0-0

Likeliest scorelines

  • 1-013%
  • 1-113%
  • 2-011%

Half-time result: Denmark 40%, draw 43%, Costa Rica 17%.

Projected match stats for Denmark and Costa Rica
Team statDenmarkCosta Rica
Expected goals1.70.9
Possession63%37%
Shots11–136–8
Shots on target4–52–3
Clean sheet19%42%

HT/FT market

Half-time result first, full-time result second.

  • DEN / DEN34%
  • Draw / DEN19%
  • Draw / Draw17%
  • CRC / CRC10%
  • Draw / CRC8%
  • DEN / Draw5%
  • CRC / Draw4%
  • CRC / DEN2%
  • DEN / CRC1%

Goal markets

Total expected goals: 2.5.

  • Both teams to score47%
  • Over 1.5 goals72%
  • Over 2.5 goals46%
  • Over 3.5 goals24%
  • DEN clean sheet19%
  • CRC clean sheet42%
Goal timingChance of at least one goal in each 15-minute window. The opener typically lands between minutes 11–41, and the chance of no goal at all is 8%.
  • 30%
  • 37%
  • 39%
  • 28%
  • 36%
  • 34%
  • 1–15'
  • 16–30'
  • 31–45'
  • 46–60'
  • 61–75'
  • 76–90'

Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.

Popular football markets for this match

What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.

  • Match result (1X2)

    A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.

    Model split: Denmark 55%, draw 26%, Costa Rica 19%.

    How this market works
  • Both teams to score

    Yes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.

    Model: Yes 47%, No 53%. Clean sheet: Denmark 19%, Costa Rica 42%.

    How this market works
  • Over / Under 2.5 goals

    A line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.

    Model: Over 2.5 46%, Under 2.5 54%. Over 1.5 72%, Over 3.5 24%.

    How this market works
  • Half-time / full-time

    Backs the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.

    Likeliest: DEN / DEN 34%, then Draw / DEN 19%.

    How this market works
  • Asian handicap

    Gives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.

    Model line: Denmark -0.75.

    How this market works
  • Anytime goalscorer

    A player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.

    Rasmus Højlund leads our list at 43%, then Christian Eriksen (26%) and Manfred Ugalde (25%).

    How this market works

The case for this match

Why bet Denmark vs Costa Rica?

  • Costa Rica keep it interesting

    Denmark are ahead at 55%, but Costa Rica have enough in their a compact, organised back line to make the market move quickly.

  • Match 12 in the FIFA World Cup 2026

    Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.

  • First goal around minutes 11–41

    The model expects the opener between minutes 11–41, and the busiest spell for goals is 31–45. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.

  • Depth of markets

    A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

Match ticket

Match details

About this fixture: Denmark vs Costa Rica at AT&T Stadium.

Tournament
FIFA World Cup 2026
Stage
Match 12, Group L
Fixture
Denmark vs Costa Rica
Date
Wednesday 17 June 2026
Kick-off
15:00 ET
In India
12:30 am IST (18 Jun)
Venue
AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Format
90 minutes
Projected score
1-0 (half-time 0-0)
Referee
To be announced

Venue & conditions

Dallas

AT&T Stadium in Dallas is an air-conditioned, roofed stadium with a huge pitch and a fast surface.

Conditions are controlled or cool, so the pace of the game should hold up for the full 90 minutes.

Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.

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Answers

Questions about Denmark vs Costa Rica

  1. Our model leans Denmark at 55% against Costa Rica at 19%, with the draw at 26%. It is a heavy lean based on team ratings and conditions at AT&T Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.

  2. The model projects 1-0 at full time and 0-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 1-1 (13%) and 2-0 (11%).

  3. The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is DEN / DEN at 34%. Both teams to score is 47%, Over 2.5 goals is 46% and combined expected goals are 2.5.

  4. Our watchlist has Christian Eriksen (Denmark, attacking midfielder), Rasmus Højlund (Denmark, striker), Andreas Christensen (Denmark, centre-back), Joel Campbell (Costa Rica, forward), Manfred Ugalde (Costa Rica, striker), Óscar Duarte (Costa Rica, centre-back). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.

  5. It is listed for Wednesday 17 June 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 ET, which is 12:30 am IST (18 Jun) in India, at AT&T Stadium, Dallas.

  6. Denmark are modelled in a 4-3-3 and Costa Rica in a 5-4-1. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.

  7. The model expects the first goal between minutes 11–41, with 31–45 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 8%.

  8. Yes. Neither Denmark nor Costa Rica is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.

  9. The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.

  10. No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.

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Percentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.