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Football · Match 13 · Group A12:00 ET

Korea Republic vs CzechiaKOR vs CZE Match 13 prediction, projected score & key players

Korea Republic

Projected

1:0

HT 0-0

Czechia

KOR 40%Draw 28%32% CZE
Kick-off
12:00 ET
9:30 pm IST
Venue
Akron Stadium, Guadalajara
Model lean
Korea Republic · 40%
Jun 202617Wed

Korea Republic vs Czechia (Match 13, Group A) at Akron Stadium on 17 Jun 2026: our model leans Korea Republic at 40% and projects 1-0 after 90 minutes.

Team details

Team details for Korea Republic vs Czechia

Korea Republic are stronger in both attack (78/100) and defence (75/100), so the question is whether Czechia can disrupt their rhythm.

Korea Republic

Expected shape 4-2-3-1

Attack78
Midfield74
Defence75
Strength
Chance quality and finishing
Vulnerability
Holding the midfield against a press

Korea Republic are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with a direct, counter-attacking edge built around a world-class runner and a workmanlike midfield. Their best unit in this match is the attack.

The key question is how they handle Czechia's territory and control of the midfield, while protecting against holding the midfield against a press.

Czechia

Expected shape 4-2-3-1

Attack70
Midfield72
Defence70
Strength
Territory and control of the midfield
Vulnerability
Space behind the back line

Czechia are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with a big, physical striker, a tireless midfielder and a side that thrives on crosses. Their best unit in this match is the midfield.

The key question is how they handle Korea Republic's chance quality and finishing, while protecting against space behind the back line.

Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.

Prediction board

Korea Republic vs Czechia prediction

Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.

KOR win

40%

Model lean

Draw

28%

CZE win

32%

Both teams to score

54%

A clean sheet is a real possibility.

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Combined expected goals: 2.6.

Asian handicap

Korea Republic -0.25

Korea Republic carry the handicap on an expected goal gap of 0.2.

First-goal window

11–44'

Busiest goal spell: 76–90'. Chance of 0-0: 7%.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

Korea Republic get the modest nod at 40%, with Czechia at 32% and the draw at 28%. It is a lean, not a lock.

Lean: Korea RepublicProjected score: 1-0HT/FT: KOR / KORNeutral venue

Korea Republic face Czechia in Match 13, Group A of the FIFA World Cup 2026, at Akron Stadium, Guadalajara. It is listed for Wednesday 17 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.

Korea Republic are stronger in both attack (78/100) and defence (75/100), so the question is whether Czechia can disrupt their rhythm. Two names that could tilt it are Lee Kang-in for Korea Republic and Patrik Schick for Czechia.

Akron Stadium is a modern stadium at roughly 1,500 metres altitude, with warm evenings and a lively home crowd. Our model projects 1-0 at full time on expected goals of 1.4 for Korea Republic and 1.2 for Czechia, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 11–44.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

Korea Republic 40%, draw 28%, Czechia 32% over 90 minutes. It is a modest lean, and team news can move it.

Model lean

Korea Republic

40% to win · 8-point gap

KOR 40%Draw 28%32% CZE

The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for Akron Stadium. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.

Korea Republic's strongest unit is chance quality and finishing, and Czechia's weakest point is space behind the back line. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.

Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.

Korea RepublicCzechia
  • 53AttackChance creation and finishing47
  • 51Midfield controlTerritory, tempo and duels49
  • 52DefenceShape, aerial strength and keeping shots out48
  • 54Form & momentumOverall rating with a match-day adjustment46

Impact names

Key players to watch

Six names our model expects to shape Korea Republic vs Czechia, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.

Korea Republic

  • Korea Republic

    Forward

    Son Heung-min

    Threat on the counter

    Impact81%

    Anytime scorer34%

  • Korea Republic

    Attacking Midfielder

    Lee Kang-in

    Set-piece and final-pass threat

    Impact83%

    Anytime scorer22%

  • Korea Republic

    Centre-back

    Kim Min-jae

    Aerial threat at set pieces

    Impact78%

    Anytime scorer7%

Czechia

  • Czechia

    Striker

    Patrik Schick

    Runs the channels and finishes

    Impact85%

    Anytime scorer34%

  • Czechia

    Midfielder

    Tomáš Souček

    Wins the second ball

    Impact80%

    Anytime scorer9%

  • Czechia

    Right-back

    Vladimír Coufal

    Overlaps and delivers

    Impact80%

    Anytime scorer5%

These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.

Scoreboard model

Projected score, HT/FT & goal markets

Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Korea Republic vs Czechia, built from expected goals of 1.4 for Korea Republic and 1.2 for Czechia.

Projected scoreboard

Full time

1-0

Half time

0-0

Likeliest scorelines

  • 1-114%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%

Half-time result: Korea Republic 31%, draw 43%, Czechia 26%.

Projected match stats for Korea Republic and Czechia
Team statKorea RepublicCzechia
Expected goals1.41.2
Possession51%49%
Shots9–119–11
Shots on target3–43–4
Clean sheet25%29%

HT/FT market

Half-time result first, full-time result second.

  • KOR / KOR24%
  • CZE / CZE18%
  • Draw / Draw17%
  • Draw / KOR14%
  • Draw / CZE12%
  • CZE / Draw6%
  • KOR / Draw5%
  • KOR / CZE2%
  • CZE / KOR2%

Goal markets

Total expected goals: 2.6.

  • Both teams to score54%
  • Over 1.5 goals74%
  • Over 2.5 goals48%
  • Over 3.5 goals26%
  • KOR clean sheet25%
  • CZE clean sheet29%
Goal timingChance of at least one goal in each 15-minute window. The opener typically lands between minutes 11–44, and the chance of no goal at all is 7%.
  • 31%
  • 33%
  • 38%
  • 31%
  • 38%
  • 40%
  • 1–15'
  • 16–30'
  • 31–45'
  • 46–60'
  • 61–75'
  • 76–90'

Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.

Popular football markets for this match

What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.

  • Match result (1X2)

    A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.

    Model split: Korea Republic 40%, draw 28%, Czechia 32%.

    How this market works
  • Both teams to score

    Yes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.

    Model: Yes 54%, No 46%. Clean sheet: Korea Republic 25%, Czechia 29%.

    How this market works
  • Over / Under 2.5 goals

    A line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.

    Model: Over 2.5 48%, Under 2.5 52%. Over 1.5 74%, Over 3.5 26%.

    How this market works
  • Half-time / full-time

    Backs the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.

    Likeliest: KOR / KOR 24%, then CZE / CZE 18%.

    How this market works
  • Asian handicap

    Gives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.

    Model line: Korea Republic -0.25.

    How this market works
  • Anytime goalscorer

    A player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.

    Son Heung-min leads our list at 34%, then Patrik Schick (34%) and Lee Kang-in (22%).

    How this market works

The case for this match

Why bet Korea Republic vs Czechia?

  • A genuinely close contest

    With Korea Republic at 40% and Czechia at 32%, neither side is far ahead, so prices tend to move a lot on a single goal.

  • Match 13 in the FIFA World Cup 2026

    Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.

  • First goal around minutes 11–44

    The model expects the opener between minutes 11–44, and the busiest spell for goals is 76–90. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.

  • Depth of markets

    A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

Match ticket

Match details

About this fixture: Korea Republic vs Czechia at Akron Stadium.

Tournament
FIFA World Cup 2026
Stage
Match 13, Group A
Fixture
Korea Republic vs Czechia
Date
Wednesday 17 June 2026
Kick-off
12:00 ET
In India
9:30 pm IST
Venue
Akron Stadium, Guadalajara
Format
90 minutes
Projected score
1-0 (half-time 0-0)
Referee
To be announced

Venue & conditions

Guadalajara

Akron Stadium in Guadalajara is a modern stadium at roughly 1,500 metres altitude, with warm evenings and a lively home crowd.

Heat and humidity are a real factor here, so expect cooling breaks and a slower pace late in each half.

Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.

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Answers

Questions about Korea Republic vs Czechia

  1. Our model leans Korea Republic at 40% against Czechia at 32%, with the draw at 28%. It is a modest lean based on team ratings and conditions at Akron Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.

  2. The model projects 1-0 at full time and 0-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%).

  3. The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is KOR / KOR at 24%. Both teams to score is 54%, Over 2.5 goals is 48% and combined expected goals are 2.6.

  4. Our watchlist has Son Heung-min (Korea Republic, forward), Lee Kang-in (Korea Republic, attacking midfielder), Kim Min-jae (Korea Republic, centre-back), Patrik Schick (Czechia, striker), Tomáš Souček (Czechia, midfielder), Vladimír Coufal (Czechia, right-back). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.

  5. It is listed for Wednesday 17 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India, at Akron Stadium, Guadalajara.

  6. Korea Republic are modelled in a 4-2-3-1 and Czechia in a 4-2-3-1. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.

  7. The model expects the first goal between minutes 11–44, with 76–90 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 7%.

  8. Yes. Neither Korea Republic nor Czechia is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.

  9. The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.

  10. No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.

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Percentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.