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Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.

Tennis · WTA · FinalWTA 500grassProjected pairing

Elena Rybakina vs Amanda AnisimovaBad Homburg Open WTA Final: prediction, predicted score & key players

Elena Rybakina

Win probability

49%

vs

Amanda Anisimova

Win probability

51%

Rybakina 49%51% Anisimova
Predicted score
7–6, 6–4

2–0

Start
Order of play TBC
Venue
Bad Homburg
Format
Best of 3

grass

Jun 202628SunFinal

Bad Homburg Open WTA Final on 28 Jun 2026: our projection has Elena Rybakina vs Amanda Anisimova, with Amanda Anisimova the 51% favourite and a predicted score of 7–6, 6–4.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

Amanda Anisimova is the marginal projected favourite at 51% over Elena Rybakina (49%) in the Bad Homburg Open WTA Final. It is a coin-flip lean, not a lock.

Lean: Amanda AnisimovaCourt: grassFormat: best of 3Tie-break: 48%

On Sunday 28 June 2026 the Bad Homburg Open WTA (WTA 500) plays its Final in Bad Homburg. A WTA 500 on grass that gives players a final tune-up before Wimbledon.

Our projection has Elena Rybakina vs Amanda Anisimova as the headline match of the Final. It comes from a projected bracket built on our reference player pool, not from the official draw, so the confirmed pairing can differ. It is the last match of the event, and the winner takes the title.

Elena Rybakina is a big flat server with clean ball-striking that suits faster courts. Amanda Anisimova is a flat, first-strike ball-striker who takes time away from opponents. On fast, low-bouncing grass, our model leans Amanda Anisimova, mainly through return.

Match ticket

Match details

Date
Sunday 28 June 2026
Tournament
Bad Homburg Open WTA
Round
Final
Category
WTA 500
Venue
Bad Homburg, Germany
Main court
Bad Homburg Tennis Club
Surface
grass (fast pace)
Format
Singles, best of three sets
Ranking points
500 ranking points
Tour
WTA tour
Projected pairing
Elena Rybakina vs Amanda Anisimova (projection, not the official draw)

Pairings are projected. The official draw and any withdrawals decide the real match.

Projected line-up

Bad Homburg Open WTA Final predictions

Projected final pairings from our bracket model, with the headline match first. Percentages are for the first-named player.

  1. Elena RybakinaKAZUSAAmanda Anisimova
    49%51%

Projected title favourite for this event: Elena Rybakina.

These pairings are projections from our reference player pool, not the official draw.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

We compare Elena Rybakina and Amanda Anisimova on four factors: fit for grass, serve, return and recent form. The combined lean is Amanda Anisimova at 51%.

Model lean

Amanda Anisimova

51% to win · 2-point gap

Rybakina 49%51% Anisimova

Amanda Anisimova is the coin-flip pick because of a clear edge in return. Elena Rybakina keeps a 49% chance, mostly through serve and match-day variance.

Projected pairing: this comes from our reference player pool, so treat it as the shape of the round, not a confirmed order of play. The official draw and any withdrawals decide the real match.

Fast, low-bouncing grass conditions reward big servers and short points, which narrows the gap between the two players' styles.

Elena RybakinaAmanda Anisimova
  • 54Surface fitRated on grass46
  • 70ServeFirst-serve weapon and hold games30
  • 39ReturnBreak-point pressure61
  • 43Recent formLevel over recent events57

Impact names

Key players to watch

Four names our model expects to matter in this round on grass: the two headline players and the next-best names from the projected bracket.

  • Kazakhstan

    WTA

    Elena Rybakina

    Big serve · Grass

    Impact77%

  • United States

    WTA

    Amanda Anisimova

    Ball-striker · Return

    Impact77%

  • Belarus

    WTA

    Aryna Sabalenka

    Power · Big serve

    Impact78%

  • Poland

    WTA

    Iga Swiatek

    Clay · Topspin

    Impact76%

Names, countries and playing styles are real. Impact scores are a model reference. They are not a confirmed draw or line-up, so check the official order of play close to the match.

Scoreboard model

Predicted score & set markets

Amanda Anisimova is projected to beat Elena Rybakina 2–0, 7–6, 6–4. The next table shows how the set and games markets line up around that call.

Predicted score

7–6, 6–4

Amanda Anisimova to beat Elena Rybakina in 2–0

Every figure is an indicative model, not a live price. Sets and games are derived from a best of three sets format on grass.

Set score probability

  • Anisimova 2–025.7%
  • Anisimova 2–125.3%
  • Rybakina 2–124.7%
  • Rybakina 2–024.3%

  • Total games

    22–28

    Line 25.5. Average 25.3 games.

  • Tie-break

    48%

    About 23% per set.

  • Total aces

    18–28

    Rybakina ~13, Anisimova ~10.

  • Match length

    1h 36m–2h 02m

    About 2.5 sets expected.

Model lean for each tennis market
MarketModel leanWhy
Match winnerAmanda Anisimova 51%coin-flip lean over Elena Rybakina (49%).
Set bettingAmanda Anisimova 2–02–0 for Anisimova carries 26%. A deciding set is 50%.
Total gamesUnder 25.5Model average is 25.3 games, in a range of 22–28.
Games handicapAnisimova −1.5Anisimova is projected to win by about 2 more games than Rybakina.
Tie-break in matchNo 52%About 23% per set on grass.
First set winnerAnisimova 51%Rybakina takes at least one set 74% of the time.
Total aces18–28Rybakina about 13, Anisimova about 10.
Match length1h 36m–2h 02mBased on 2.5 sets at grass pace.

Popular tennis betting markets

The markets followers look at most for this match, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.

  • Match winner

    Back the player or nation you expect to win the match, whatever the score.

    Model lean: Amanda Anisimova at 51%.

    How this market works

  • Set betting

    Pick the exact set score of a best of three sets match, such as 2–0.

    Most likely: Anisimova 2–0, then a deciding set at 50%.

    How this market works

  • Total games

    Bet over or under a games line. Close, serve-led matches push the total up.

    Under 25.5 at a 25.3-game average.

    How this market works

  • Games handicap

    Give or take games to level up a mismatch, so the favourite has to win by a margin.

    Anisimova −1.5 sits near the model's margin.

    How this market works

  • Tie-break market

    Predict whether any set reaches 6–6 and needs a tie-break.

    48% for at least one tie-break in the match.

    How this market works

  • Live tennis markets

    Prices move point by point, so first-set and break-of-serve lines can swing quickly.

    Rybakina steals a set 74% of the time, which is why live lines matter.

    How this market works

The case for this match

Why bet this match?

  • A live contest, not a formality

    Our lean is coin-flip, so the market has two credible outcomes and the price for Elena Rybakina is worth watching.

  • The court shapes the markets

    Fast, low-bouncing grass. It moves the total games line and the tie-break chance (48%), so surface reading is part of the edge.

  • Depth of markets

    Winner, set score, total games, handicap, tie-break, aces and first-set lines all exist for a WTA 500 final, so you can pick the one that matches what you actually think.

  • Live pricing

    A best of three sets match has many turning points. Break points and set momentum move live prices, and our model shows a 74% chance the underdog takes a set.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

Fixture guide

About Bad Homburg Open WTA Final

The Bad Homburg Open WTA is a WTA 500 event, worth 500 ranking points to the champion. A WTA 500 on grass that gives players a final tune-up before Wimbledon.

The Final is played on grass at Bad Homburg Tennis Club. Players arrive after the Semi-finals on 26 Jun 2026, and this is the last fixture listed for the event.

Our schedule lists 3 rounds for this event: Quarter-finals on 24 Jun 2026, Semi-finals on 26 Jun 2026, Final on 28 Jun 2026. Order of play is published by the tournament the day before and can change with weather.

Keep following

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All tennis fixturesSee the full Bad Homburg Open (WTA) table

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Answers

Questions about Rybakina vs Anisimova

  1. The Final is listed for Sunday 28 June 2026. Our schedule shows 3 rounds for this event: Quarter-finals on 24 Jun 2026, Semi-finals on 26 Jun 2026, Final on 28 Jun 2026.

  2. Our model leans Amanda Anisimova at 51%, with Elena Rybakina at 49%. This is a projection built on a reference player pool, not the official draw, and it is not a guarantee of the result.

  3. Amanda Anisimova is projected to win 2–0, 7–6, 6–4. Straight sets carry 50% and a deciding set 50%.

  4. The Final is held in Bad Homburg, Germany, with the main court at Bad Homburg Tennis Club. The surface is grass, which plays fast, so servers get more free points.

  5. Singles matches are best of three sets. It is the last match of the event, and the winner takes the title.

  6. No. Pairings are set by the official draw, which is not part of our schedule data. We show a projected pairing from our reference player pool so you can see the shape of the round. Check the tournament's order of play for the confirmed match.

  7. Elena Rybakina (KAZ), Amanda Anisimova (USA), Aryna Sabalenka (BLR), Iga Swiatek (POL). These are reference names from our model and not confirmed line-ups.

  8. Common markets are match winner, set betting, total games, games handicap, tie-break, first-set winner and total aces. Prices move live, and our figures here are model references only.

  9. The champion earns 500 ranking points. The Final winner moves a step closer to that total.

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Pairings are a projection from our reference player pool and are not the official draw. Percentages, projected scores and impact figures are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the tournament. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.

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