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Tennis · ATP · Quarter-finalsATP 250grassProjected pairing

Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-AliassimeStuttgart Open ATP Quarter-finals: prediction, predicted score & key players

Jannik Sinner

Win probability

85%

vs

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Win probability

15%

Sinner 85%15% Auger-Aliassime
Predicted score
6–2, 6–3

2–0

Start
Order of play TBC
Venue
Stuttgart
Format
Best of 3

grass

Jun 202610WedQuarter-finals

Stuttgart Open ATP Quarter-finals on 10 Jun 2026: our projection has Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime, with Jannik Sinner the 85% favourite and a predicted score of 6–2, 6–3.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

Jannik Sinner is the projected favourite at 85% over Felix Auger-Aliassime (15%) in the Stuttgart Open ATP Quarter-finals. It is a strong lean, not a lock.

Lean: Jannik SinnerCourt: grassFormat: best of 3Tie-break: 42%

Stuttgart Open ATP moves into the Quarter-finals on Wednesday 10 June 2026, with play at Stuttgart. The ATP's first grass event of the European season, played at Weissenhof.

Our projection has Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime as the headline match of the Quarter-finals. It comes from a projected bracket built on our reference player pool, not from the official draw, so the confirmed pairing can differ. Eight are left in the event, and the four winners go through to the semi-finals.

Jannik Sinner is a flat, powerful baseliner who takes the ball early and returns with pace. Felix Auger-Aliassime is a serve-first player with a heavy forehand and a strong indoor record. On fast, low-bouncing grass, our model leans Jannik Sinner, mainly through return.

Match ticket

Match details

Date
Wednesday 10 June 2026
Tournament
Stuttgart Open ATP
Round
Quarter-finals
Category
ATP 250
Venue
Stuttgart, Germany
Main court
Tennis Club Weissenhof
Surface
grass (fast pace)
Format
Singles, best of three sets
Ranking points
250 ranking points
Tour
ATP tour
Projected pairing
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (projection, not the official draw)

Pairings are projected. The official draw and any withdrawals decide the real match.

Projected line-up

Stuttgart Open ATP Quarter-finals predictions

Projected quarter-finals pairings from our bracket model, with the headline match first. Percentages are for the first-named player.

  1. Jannik SinnerITACANFelix Auger-Aliassime
    85%15%
  2. Carlos AlcarazESPAUSAlex de Minaur
    86%14%
  3. Jack DraperGBRBULGrigor Dimitrov
    54%46%
  4. Alexander ZverevGERUSAFrances Tiafoe
    67%33%

Projected title favourite for this event: Jannik Sinner.

These pairings are projections from our reference player pool, not the official draw.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

We compare Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime on four factors: fit for grass, serve, return and recent form. The combined lean is Jannik Sinner at 85%.

Model lean

Jannik Sinner

85% to win · 70-point gap

Sinner 85%15% Auger-Aliassime

Jannik Sinner is the strong pick because of a clear edge in return. Felix Auger-Aliassime keeps a 15% chance, mostly through serve and match-day variance.

Projected pairing: this comes from our reference player pool, so treat it as the shape of the round, not a confirmed order of play. The official draw and any withdrawals decide the real match.

Fast, low-bouncing grass conditions reward big servers and short points, which narrows the gap between the two players' styles.

Jannik SinnerFelix Auger-Aliassime
  • 73Surface fitRated on grass27
  • 48ServeFirst-serve weapon and hold games52
  • 78ReturnBreak-point pressure22
  • 75Recent formLevel over recent events25

Impact names

Key players to watch

Four names our model expects to matter in this round on grass: the two headline players and the next-best names from the projected bracket.

  • Italy

    ATP

    Jannik Sinner

    Baseline power · Elite return

    Impact82%

  • Canada

    ATP

    Felix Auger-Aliassime

    Big serve · Forehand

    Impact69%

  • Spain

    ATP

    Carlos Alcaraz

    All-court · Clay & grass

    Impact81%

  • Germany

    ATP

    Alexander Zverev

    Big serve · Backhand

    Impact69%

Names, countries and playing styles are real. Impact scores are a model reference. They are not a confirmed draw or line-up, so check the official order of play close to the match.

Scoreboard model

Predicted score & set markets

Jannik Sinner is projected to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime 2–0, 6–2, 6–3. The next table shows how the set and games markets line up around that call.

Predicted score

6–2, 6–3

Jannik Sinner to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in 2–0

Every figure is an indicative model, not a live price. Sets and games are derived from a best of three sets format on grass.

Set score probability

  • Sinner 2–057.1%
  • Sinner 2–127.9%
  • Auger-Aliassime 2–19%
  • Auger-Aliassime 2–06%

  • Total games

    19–25

    Line 22.5. Average 22.2 games.

  • Tie-break

    42%

    About 20% per set.

  • Total aces

    18–27

    Sinner ~11, Auger-Aliassime ~11.

  • Match length

    1h 28m–1h 52m

    About 2.4 sets expected.

Model lean for each tennis market
MarketModel leanWhy
Match winnerJannik Sinner 85%strong lean over Felix Auger-Aliassime (15%).
Set bettingJannik Sinner 2–02–0 for Sinner carries 57%. A deciding set is 37%.
Total gamesUnder 22.5Model average is 22.2 games, in a range of 19–25.
Games handicapSinner −6.5Sinner is projected to win by about 7 more games than Auger-Aliassime.
Tie-break in matchNo 58%About 20% per set on grass.
First set winnerSinner 73%Auger-Aliassime takes at least one set 43% of the time.
Total aces18–27Sinner about 11, Auger-Aliassime about 11.
Match length1h 28m–1h 52mBased on 2.4 sets at grass pace.

Popular tennis betting markets

The markets followers look at most for this match, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.

  • Match winner

    Back the player or nation you expect to win the match, whatever the score.

    Model lean: Jannik Sinner at 85%.

    How this market works

  • Set betting

    Pick the exact set score of a best of three sets match, such as 2–0.

    Most likely: Sinner 2–0, then a deciding set at 37%.

    How this market works

  • Total games

    Bet over or under a games line. Close, serve-led matches push the total up.

    Under 22.5 at a 22.2-game average.

    How this market works

  • Games handicap

    Give or take games to level up a mismatch, so the favourite has to win by a margin.

    Sinner −6.5 sits near the model's margin.

    How this market works

  • Tie-break market

    Predict whether any set reaches 6–6 and needs a tie-break.

    42% for at least one tie-break in the match.

    How this market works

  • Live tennis markets

    Prices move point by point, so first-set and break-of-serve lines can swing quickly.

    Auger-Aliassime steals a set 43% of the time, which is why live lines matter.

    How this market works

The case for this match

Why bet this match?

  • A clear storyline

    Jannik Sinner carry a strong lean, so the interest is in the score and games markets, where the favourite still has to convert.

  • The court shapes the markets

    Fast, low-bouncing grass. It moves the total games line and the tie-break chance (42%), so surface reading is part of the edge.

  • Depth of markets

    Winner, set score, total games, handicap, tie-break, aces and first-set lines all exist for a ATP 250 quarter-finals, so you can pick the one that matches what you actually think.

  • Live pricing

    A best of three sets match has many turning points. Break points and set momentum move live prices, and our model shows a 43% chance the underdog takes a set.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

Fixture guide

About Stuttgart Open ATP Quarter-finals

The Stuttgart Open ATP is a ATP 250 event, worth 250 ranking points to the champion. The ATP's first grass event of the European season, played at Weissenhof.

The Quarter-finals is played on grass at Tennis Club Weissenhof. Players start with the opening fixture listed, and the Semi-finals follows on 12 Jun 2026.

Our schedule lists 3 rounds for this event: Quarter-finals on 10 Jun 2026, Semi-finals on 12 Jun 2026, Final on 14 Jun 2026. Order of play is published by the tournament the day before and can change with weather.

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Answers

Questions about Sinner vs Auger-Aliassime

  1. The Quarter-finals is listed for Wednesday 10 June 2026. Our schedule shows 3 rounds for this event: Quarter-finals on 10 Jun 2026, Semi-finals on 12 Jun 2026, Final on 14 Jun 2026.

  2. Our model leans Jannik Sinner at 85%, with Felix Auger-Aliassime at 15%. This is a projection built on a reference player pool, not the official draw, and it is not a guarantee of the result.

  3. Jannik Sinner is projected to win 2–0, 6–2, 6–3. Straight sets carry 63% and a deciding set 37%.

  4. The Quarter-finals is held in Stuttgart, Germany, with the main court at Tennis Club Weissenhof. The surface is grass, which plays fast, so servers get more free points.

  5. Singles matches are best of three sets. Eight are left in the event, and the four winners go through to the semi-finals.

  6. No. Pairings are set by the official draw, which is not part of our schedule data. We show a projected pairing from our reference player pool so you can see the shape of the round. Check the tournament's order of play for the confirmed match.

  7. Jannik Sinner (ITA), Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN), Carlos Alcaraz (ESP), Alexander Zverev (GER). These are reference names from our model and not confirmed line-ups.

  8. Common markets are match winner, set betting, total games, games handicap, tie-break, first-set winner and total aces. Prices move live, and our figures here are model references only.

  9. The champion earns 250 ranking points. The Quarter-finals winner moves a step closer to that total.

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Pairings are a projection from our reference player pool and are not the official draw. Percentages, projected scores and impact figures are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the tournament. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.

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