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Cricket · 4-Day Warm-upMatch 1 of 3Dry / turning

West Indies vs PakistanWI vs PAK 4-Day Warm-up prediction & pitch report

West Indies

Day-one score

285–346

vs

Pakistan

Day-one score

292–356

WI 23%Draw 33%44% PAK
Start
19:30 IST
Venue
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba
Format
Four-day tour match
Jul 202618SatDate is a planning date

West Indies vs Pakistan (4-Day Warm-up) at Brian Lara Stadium on 18 Jul 2026: our model leans Pakistan at 44% on a dry / turning surface, with a projected day-one score after 90 overs of 292–356.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

Pakistan start as the favourite in the 4-Day Warm-up at Brian Lara Stadium, but 33% of our model's weight sits on a draw, so the first two sessions matter most.

Lean: PakistanSurface: Dry / turningToss: bat firstHome side: West Indies

The Pakistan tour of West Indies, 2026 reaches match 1 of 3 when West Indies face Pakistan in a tour match at Brian Lara Stadium. It is listed for Saturday 18 July 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. West Indies have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.

West Indies's edge is their batting depth, while Pakistan's is their pace attack. The side whose strength suits Brian Lara Stadium gets the first say. Brian Lara Stadium is a slow, low surface where spin and cutters are hard to get away, so we expect a dry / turning surface with a first-day score around 292–356 for Pakistan and 285–346 for West Indies.

Rain is a real risk at this time of year, so watch the forecast and the covers around the toss. Because a draw is a live result here (33%), watch how much time is lost before you read anything into a single session.

Match ticket

Match details

Series
Pakistan tour of West Indies, 2026
Stage
4-Day Warm-up
Fixture
West Indies vs Pakistan
Date
Saturday 18 July 2026
Start time
19:30 IST
Venue
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba
Format
Four-day tour match
Match number
1 of 3
Surface
Dry / turning
Toss lean
Bat first
Home side
West Indies

Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

West Indies 23%, draw 33%, Pakistan 44%. A draw carries real weight in a tour match, so read the split as three outcomes rather than two.

Model lean

Pakistan

44% to win · 21-point gap

WI 23%Draw 33%44% PAK

The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Brian Lara Stadium and West Indies's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.

On a turning surface, Pakistan's spinners get the extra weight in the model.

Rain and bad light matter more in a longer match, so the draw figure moves first when the forecast changes.

West IndiesPakistan
  • 49BattingTop-order strength and depth51
  • 46Pace attackNew ball and death overs54
  • 47Spin attackMatters most on this surface53
  • 46Red-ball formRecent rating in this format54
  • 62Home conditionsWest Indies play in familiar conditions38

Impact names

Key players to watch

Four names our model expects to move this match on dry / turning conditions.

  • West Indies

    All-rounder

    Andre Russell

    Partnership breaker

    Impact82%
  • West Indies

    Batter

    Brandon King

    Top-order firepower

    Impact80%
  • Pakistan

    Spinner

    Usama Mir

    Wicket-taker in the squeeze

    Impact83%
  • Pakistan

    Batter

    Babar Azam

    Middle-order finisher

    Impact82%

These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.

Scoreboard model

Projected scoreline & over-by-over

Projected day-one score by session for each side, followed by the cumulative curve across 90 overs.

Projected runs by phase for West Indies and Pakistan
SessionWest IndiesPakistan
Session 1Overs 1–3091–10993–112
Session 2Overs 31–6099–118101–121
Session 3Overs 61–9095–11998–123
Day one, 90 overs285–346292–356
Cumulative runs by overWIPAK
08817526335001836547290

Overs bowled

  • After 30 overs

    WI 100PAK 103

  • After 60 overs

    WI 209PAK 214

  • After 90 overs

    WI 316PAK 324

Sessions are modelled at 30 overs each, and the totals are for the first 90 overs of a first innings.

Team details

About West Indies vs Pakistan

West Indies's edge is their batting depth, while Pakistan's is their pace attack. The side whose strength suits Brian Lara Stadium gets the first say.

West Indies

  • Batting 74/100
  • Pace 72/100
  • Spin 66/100

West Indies come in with big-hitting depth in white-ball cricket and raw pace that can win a session on its own. In this tour match, their batting depth is their strongest suit.

Brian Lara Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Pakistan's pace attack.

Pakistan

  • Batting 78/100
  • Pace 86/100
  • Spin 74/100

Pakistan come in with a pace-heavy bowling group and a batting order that swings between brilliant and brittle. In this tour match, their pace attack is their strongest suit.

Brian Lara Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle West Indies's batting depth.

WI vs PAK pitch report

Dry / turning
Scoring index

Brian Lara Stadium is a slow, low surface where spin and cutters are hard to get away. Our surface tag for this match is dry / turning, with a scoring index of 3 out of 5.

Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface slows and grips.

Rain is a real risk at this time of year, so watch the forecast and the covers around the toss.

Venue: Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.

Market guide

Popular betting markets

The markets most followers look at for West Indies vs Pakistan, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.

  • Match odds (with draw)

    Backs a team to win, or the draw. Unlike limited-overs cricket the market has three outcomes.

    Model split: West Indies 23%, draw 33%, Pakistan 44%.

    How this market works
  • Toss winner

    A separate market on who wins the coin toss. It settles before the first ball.

    Toss lean is to bat first, so watch which captain has to choose.

    How this market works
  • Session runs

    Lines on how many runs a side scores in a session, or in a fixed number of overs.

    Session 1: West Indies 91–109, Pakistan 93–112.

    How this market works
  • First-innings lead

    Bets on which side leads after both first innings, or by how many runs.

    Day-one projection: West Indies 285–346, Pakistan 292–356.

    How this market works
  • Top batter

    Picks the leading run-scorer for a team or for the match.

    Andre Russell and Usama Mir lead our watchlist.

    How this market works
  • Live in-play markets

    Prices move ball by ball with wickets, weather and session results.

    Rain delays reset the draw price first, so check the covers.

    How this market works

Betting tips

Betting tips for this match

Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.

  1. 1

    Read the surface before the toss

    Brian Lara Stadium is tagged dry / turning. Expect the pitch to slow, so runs come harder later in the match.

  2. 2

    Wait for the toss

    The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.

  3. 3

    Watch each session, not just the result

    Sessions move prices in a tour match. Our projection puts West Indies at 91–109 in Session 1 against Pakistan's 93–112.

  4. 4

    Check the team news

    Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Andre Russell or Usama Mir, moves this model by several points.

  5. 5

    Set a limit first

    Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.

The case for this match

Why bet on West Indies vs Pakistan?

  • West Indies keep it interesting

    Pakistan are ahead at 44%, but West Indies have enough in their batting depth to make the market move quickly.

  • Match 1 of 3 in the Pakistan tour of West Indies

    Series context shapes selection and tactics. Opening matches set the tone, and prices are often wider before form is clear.

  • Dry / turning conditions add an edge

    On a dry / turning surface the middle overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.

  • Depth of markets

    A tour match at Brian Lara Stadium normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

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Answers

Questions about West Indies vs Pakistan

  1. Our model gives West Indies 23%, Pakistan 44% and the draw 33%. Pakistan are the clear favourite, but this is a tour match and results can change quickly with weather and sessions. It is an indicative estimate, not advice.

  2. Brian Lara Stadium is a slow, low surface where spin and cutters are hard to get away. We tag it dry / turning with a scoring index of 3 out of 5. Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface slows and grips.

  3. Our model projects West Indies at 285–346 and Pakistan at 292–356 for the day-one score after 90 overs. Treat these as ranges, not promises.

  4. The lean is to bat first. Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface wears and turns in the fourth innings.

  5. It is listed for Saturday 18 July 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.

  6. Our watchlist has Andre Russell (West Indies, partnership breaker), Brandon King (West Indies, top-order firepower), Usama Mir (Pakistan, wicket-taker in the squeeze), Babar Azam (Pakistan, middle-order finisher). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.

  7. West Indies play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.

  8. A Test can last up to five days with two innings each, so a draw is a real result and sessions matter.

  9. No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.

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Percentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.