AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
West Indies
Projected
279–324
New Zealand
Projected
284–331
West Indies vs New Zealand (1st ODI) at Providence Stadium on 11 Jul 2026: our model leans New Zealand at 75% on a dry / turning surface, with a projected first-innings total of 284–331.
At a glance
AI overview
New Zealand get the nod at 75% in this 1st ODI, with West Indies at 25%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
Providence Stadium hosts West Indies against New Zealand in the 1st ODI, number 1 in a 5-match New Zealand tour of West Indies, 2026. It is listed for Saturday 11 July 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. West Indies have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
West Indies's edge is their batting depth, while New Zealand's is their pace attack. The side whose strength suits Providence Stadium gets the first say. Providence Stadium is a slow surface that gets slower, so spinners and cutters become important, so we expect a dry / turning surface with a first-innings score around 284–331 for New Zealand and 279–324 for West Indies.
Rain is a real risk at this time of year, so watch the forecast and the covers around the toss. The toss lean is to bat first. The surface is expected to slow and grip, so setting a target is the safer plan.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
West Indies 25%, New Zealand 75%. That is a strong lean rather than a lock.
Model lean
New Zealand
75% to win · 50-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Providence Stadium and West Indies's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a turning surface, New Zealand's spinners get the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on dry / turning conditions.
West Indies
All-rounder
Andre Russell
Balance of the XI
West Indies
Spinner
Akeal Hosein
Turn on this surface
New Zealand
Spinner
Ish Sodhi
Wicket-taker in the squeeze
New Zealand
Fast bowler
Tim Southee
Middle-overs enforcer
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 50-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | West Indies | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–10 | 53–61 | 54–62 |
| Middle oversOvers 11–40 | 146–168 | 149–172 |
| Death oversOvers 41–50 | 80–95 | 81–97 |
| First innings | 279–324 | 284–331 |
Overs bowled
After 10 overs
WI 57NZ 58
After 40 overs
WI 214NZ 219
After 50 overs
WI 302NZ 308
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Providence Stadium. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
West Indies's edge is their batting depth, while New Zealand's is their pace attack. The side whose strength suits Providence Stadium gets the first say.
West Indies come in with big-hitting depth in white-ball cricket and raw pace that can win a session on its own. In this ODI, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Providence Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle New Zealand's pace attack.
New Zealand come in with disciplined seam bowling, sharp fielding and a batting order that rarely panics. In this ODI, their pace attack is their strongest suit.
Providence Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle West Indies's batting depth.
Providence Stadium is a slow surface that gets slower, so spinners and cutters become important. Our surface tag for this match is dry / turning, with a scoring index of 3 out of 5.
Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface slows and grips.
Rain is a real risk at this time of year, so watch the forecast and the covers around the toss.
Venue: Providence Stadium, Guyana. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for West Indies vs New Zealand, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: West Indies 25%, New Zealand 75%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bat first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 10 overs.
West Indies 53–61, New Zealand 54–62.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
West Indies 279–324, New Zealand 284–331.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Andre Russell and Akeal Hosein are on our watchlist for West Indies.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
West Indies usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Providence Stadium is tagged dry / turning. Expect the pitch to slow, so runs come harder later in the match.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 53–61 for West Indies and 54–62 for New Zealand, and the death overs at 80–95 and 81–97.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Andre Russell or Ish Sodhi, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
West Indies keep it interesting
New Zealand are ahead at 75%, but West Indies have enough in their batting depth to make the market move quickly.
Match 1 of 5 in the New Zealand tour of West Indies
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Opening matches set the tone, and prices are often wider before form is clear.
Dry / turning conditions add an edge
On a dry / turning surface the middle overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A ODI at Providence Stadium normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Same series
West Indies vs New Zealand
Providence Stadium, Guyana
View matchWest Indies vs New Zealand
Providence Stadium, Guyana
View matchWest Indies vs New Zealand
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown
View matchWest Indies vs New Zealand
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown
View matchRead before you follow
Analysis
Open the West Indies vs India elimination fixture on Gold365. Confirm the knockout round first.
Events
Use your existing Gold365 cricket ID for an India vs New Zealand final. Fund early, don't re-register.
Events
Open the India vs New Zealand T20 World Cup final on Gold365 if that fixture is confirmed.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model leans New Zealand at 75% against West Indies at 25%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Providence Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.
Providence Stadium is a slow surface that gets slower, so spinners and cutters become important. We tag it dry / turning with a scoring index of 3 out of 5. Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface slows and grips.
Our model projects West Indies at 279–324 and New Zealand at 284–331 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bat first. The surface is expected to slow and grip, so setting a target is the safer plan.
It is listed for Saturday 11 July 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Providence Stadium, Guyana. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Andre Russell (West Indies, balance of the xi), Akeal Hosein (West Indies, turn on this surface), Ish Sodhi (New Zealand, wicket-taker in the squeeze), Tim Southee (New Zealand, middle-overs enforcer). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
West Indies play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
An ODI gives each side 50 overs. The middle overs shape the platform and the final ten decide close games.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
Cannot find what you need? Our official WhatsApp desk replies with your ID and a screenshot.
Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
