AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Australia
Day-one score
302–368
New Zealand
Day-one score
291–354
Australia vs New Zealand (2nd Test) at Adelaide Oval on 19 Dec 2026: our model leans Australia at 62% on a flat / batting surface, with a projected day-one score after 90 overs of 302–368.
At a glance
AI overview
Australia start as the favourite in the 2nd Test at Adelaide Oval, but 27% of our model's weight sits on a draw, so the first two sessions matter most.
The New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 reaches match 2 of 4 when Australia face New Zealand in a Test at Adelaide Oval. It is listed for Saturday 19 December 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. Australia have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better. Adelaide Oval is a true pitch with short square boundaries that suits stroke-makers, so we expect a flat / batting surface with a first-day score around 302–368 for Australia and 291–354 for New Zealand.
Summer heat dries the surface, so bounce holds up and the outfield stays quick. Because a draw is a live result here (27%), watch how much time is lost before you read anything into a single session.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
Australia 62%, draw 27%, New Zealand 11%. A draw carries real weight in a Test, so read the split as three outcomes rather than two.
Model lean
Australia
62% to win · 51-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Adelaide Oval and Australia's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a true surface, Australia's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.
Rain and bad light matter more in a longer match, so the draw figure moves first when the forecast changes.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on flat / batting conditions.
Australia
All-rounder
Mitchell Marsh
Partnership breaker
Australia
Batter
Marnus Labuschagne
Boundary-hitter on a true pitch
New Zealand
Batter
Kane Williamson
Boundary-hitter on a true pitch
New Zealand
All-rounder
Rachin Ravindra
Balance of the XI
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected day-one score by session for each side, followed by the cumulative curve across 90 overs.
| Session | Australia | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1Overs 1–30 | 95–114 | 92–110 |
| Session 2Overs 31–60 | 106–127 | 102–122 |
| Session 3Overs 61–90 | 101–127 | 97–122 |
| Day one, 90 overs | 302–368 | 291–354 |
Overs bowled
After 30 overs
AUS 105NZ 101
After 60 overs
AUS 221NZ 213
After 90 overs
AUS 335NZ 322
Sessions are modelled at 30 overs each, and the totals are for the first 90 overs of a first innings.
Team details
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better.
Australia come in with a high-class pace unit and top-order batters who score quickly on bouncy surfaces. In this Test, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Adelaide Oval suits their batters. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle New Zealand's batting depth.
New Zealand come in with disciplined seam bowling, sharp fielding and a batting order that rarely panics. In this Test, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Adelaide Oval is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle Australia's batting depth.
Adelaide Oval is a true pitch with short square boundaries that suits stroke-makers. Our surface tag for this match is flat / batting, with a scoring index of 4 out of 5.
A true surface lets either side control the game, so the toss matters less.
Summer heat dries the surface, so bounce holds up and the outfield stays quick.
Venue: Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for Australia vs New Zealand, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
Backs a team to win, or the draw. Unlike limited-overs cricket the market has three outcomes.
Model split: Australia 62%, draw 27%, New Zealand 11%.
How this market worksA separate market on who wins the coin toss. It settles before the first ball.
Toss lean is to bat first, so watch which captain has to choose.
How this market worksLines on how many runs a side scores in a session, or in a fixed number of overs.
Session 1: Australia 95–114, New Zealand 92–110.
How this market worksBets on which side leads after both first innings, or by how many runs.
Day-one projection: Australia 302–368, New Zealand 291–354.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer for a team or for the match.
Mitchell Marsh and Kane Williamson lead our watchlist.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, weather and session results.
Rain delays reset the draw price first, so check the covers.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Adelaide Oval is tagged flat / batting. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Watch each session, not just the result
Sessions move prices in a Test. Our projection puts Australia at 95–114 in Session 1 against New Zealand's 92–110.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Mitchell Marsh or Kane Williamson, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
New Zealand keep it interesting
Australia are ahead at 62%, but New Zealand have enough in their batting depth to make the market move quickly.
Match 2 of 4 in the New Zealand tour of Australia
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.
Flat / batting conditions add an edge
On a flat / batting surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A Test at Adelaide Oval normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Same series
Read before you follow
Events
Use your existing Gold365 cricket ID for an India vs New Zealand final. Fund early, don't re-register.
Events
Open the India vs New Zealand T20 World Cup final on Gold365 if that fixture is confirmed.
Events
Open the South Africa vs New Zealand semifinal on Gold365. Confirm the round first — no score prediction.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model gives Australia 62%, New Zealand 11% and the draw 27%. Australia are the strong favourite, but this is a Test and results can change quickly with weather and sessions. It is an indicative estimate, not advice.
Adelaide Oval is a true pitch with short square boundaries that suits stroke-makers. We tag it flat / batting with a scoring index of 4 out of 5. A true surface lets either side control the game, so the toss matters less.
Our model projects Australia at 302–368 and New Zealand at 291–354 for the day-one score after 90 overs. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bat first. A true surface rewards batting first, when the pitch is at its best.
It is listed for Saturday 19 December 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Mitchell Marsh (Australia, partnership breaker), Marnus Labuschagne (Australia, boundary-hitter on a true pitch), Kane Williamson (New Zealand, boundary-hitter on a true pitch), Rachin Ravindra (New Zealand, balance of the xi). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
Australia play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
A Test can last up to five days with two innings each, so a draw is a real result and sessions matter.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
Cannot find what you need? Our official WhatsApp desk replies with your ID and a screenshot.
Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
