AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Australia
Projected
0:1
HT 0-0
Turkey
Australia vs Turkey (Match 16, Group D) at Lumen Field on 19 Jun 2026: our model leans Turkey at 39% and projects 0-1 after 90 minutes.
Team details
Turkey bring the sharper attack (76/100), while Australia have the sturdier back line (72/100). The side whose strength suits Lumen Field gets the first say.
Expected shape 4-4-2
Australia are expected to line up in a 4-4-2 shape, with a physical, well-organised group that defends in a low block and attacks set pieces. Their best unit in this match is the defence.
The key question is how they handle Turkey's chance quality and finishing, while protecting against turning possession into clear chances.
Expected shape 4-2-3-1
Turkey are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with a technical midfield, direct attackers and a back line that can look open in transition. Their best unit in this match is the attack.
The key question is how they handle Australia's a compact, organised back line, while protecting against space behind the back line.
Ratings are editorial estimates on a 0 to 100 scale and formations are expected shapes, not confirmed line-ups.
Prediction board
Full-time result, goals and handicap lines from our indicative model. Reference figures, not live prices.
AUS win
31%
Draw
30%
TUR win
39%
Model lean
Both teams to score
49%
A clean sheet is a real possibility.
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Combined expected goals: 2.4.
Asian handicap
Turkey -0.25
Turkey carry the handicap on an expected goal gap of 0.2.
First-goal window
13–49'
Busiest goal spell: 61–75'. Chance of 0-0: 9%.
At a glance
AI overview
Turkey get the modest nod at 39%, with Australia at 31% and the draw at 30%. It is a lean, not a lock.
Lumen Field hosts Australia against Turkey in Match 16, Group D, number 16 of 36 in this part of the schedule. It is listed for Friday 19 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India. It is a neutral venue for both sides, so the model gives neither a home edge.
Turkey bring the sharper attack (76/100), while Australia have the sturdier back line (72/100). The side whose strength suits Lumen Field gets the first say. Two names that could tilt it are Jamie Maclaren for Australia and Cenk Tosun for Turkey.
Lumen Field is a loud, open-air ground with a cooler, damper climate and a crowd that funnels noise onto the pitch. Our model projects 0-1 at full time on expected goals of 1.1 for Australia and 1.3 for Turkey, with the first goal typically arriving between minutes 13–49.
Win probability
Australia 31%, draw 30%, Turkey 39% over 90 minutes. The modest gap leaves room for a surprise.
Model lean
Turkey
39% to win · 8-point gap
The split comes from attack, midfield and defence ratings for both teams, adjusted for Lumen Field. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
Turkey's strongest unit is chance quality and finishing, and Australia's weakest point is turning possession into clear chances. That is the pairing to watch as the game settles.
Confirmed line-ups are usually published about an hour before kick-off, so check the split again once the teams are named.
Impact names
Six names our model expects to shape Australia vs Turkey, with an impact score and a chance to score at any time.
Australia
Attacking Midfielder
Ajdin Hrustic
Set-piece and final-pass threat
Anytime scorer18%
Australia
Striker
Jamie Maclaren
Target for crosses and cut-backs
Anytime scorer32%
Australia
Centre-back
Harry Souttar
Aerial threat at set pieces
Anytime scorer5%
Turkey
Midfielder
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Controls territory
Anytime scorer10%
Turkey
Striker
Cenk Tosun
Runs the channels and finishes
Anytime scorer35%
Turkey
Centre-back
Kaan Ayhan
Sweeps up behind the press
Anytime scorer6%
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed line-up. Check the official team announcement about an hour before kick-off.
Scoreboard model
Projected score, half-time position and the goal markets for Australia vs Turkey, built from expected goals of 1.1 for Australia and 1.3 for Turkey.
Projected scoreboard
Full time
0-1
Half time
0-0
Likeliest scorelines
Half-time result: Australia 25%, draw 46%, Turkey 29%.
| Team stat | Australia | Turkey |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Shots | 8–10 | 9–11 |
| Shots on target | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 28% |
Half-time result first, full-time result second.
Total expected goals: 2.4.
Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model with a small adjustment for low scores. They are indicative reference figures, not live prices, and one red card or early goal can move every line.
What each market means, with the reference figure from our model. These are not live prices.
A straight pick on a home win, a draw or an away win after 90 minutes.
Model split: Australia 31%, draw 30%, Turkey 39%.
How this market worksYes if each side scores at least once, whatever the final result.
Model: Yes 49%, No 51%. Clean sheet: Australia 33%, Turkey 28%.
How this market worksA line on total goals. Over needs three or more, Under needs two or fewer.
Model: Over 2.5 42%, Under 2.5 58%. Over 1.5 69%, Over 3.5 22%.
How this market worksBacks the result at half time and at full time together, so there are nine outcomes.
Likeliest: TUR / TUR 23%, then Draw / Draw 19%.
How this market worksGives one side a head start or a deficit in goals, which removes the draw from many lines.
Model line: Turkey -0.25.
How this market worksA player scores at any point in normal time. Own goals do not count in most books.
Cenk Tosun leads our list at 35%, then Jamie Maclaren (32%) and Ajdin Hrustic (18%).
How this market worksThe case for this match
A genuinely close contest
With Australia at 31% and Turkey at 39%, neither side is far ahead, so prices tend to move a lot on a single goal.
Match 16 in the FIFA World Cup 2026
Group games shape the table, so points and goal difference matter as well as the result.
First goal around minutes 13–49
The model expects the opener between minutes 13–49, and the busiest spell for goals is 61–75. Live markets often move fastest around those moments.
Depth of markets
A World Cup fixture like this normally carries 1X2, both teams to score, over/under, HT/FT, handicap and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Match ticket
About this fixture: Australia vs Turkey at Lumen Field.
Lumen Field in Seattle is a loud, open-air ground with a cooler, damper climate and a crowd that funnels noise onto the pitch.
Conditions are controlled or cool, so the pace of the game should hold up for the full 90 minutes.
Neither side has home advantage, so squad depth and tactical flexibility carry more weight.
Keep following
More football fixtures from the schedule, starting with games that involve these teams.
USA vs Australia
Lumen Field, Seattle
View matchJapan vs Norway
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
View matchEcuador vs Qatar
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
View matchNetherlands vs Uzbekistan
Gillette Stadium, Boston
View matchRead before you follow
Events
There's no Dream11 football XI for a World Cup final on Gold365 — just real 1X2 and totals markets on whichever final fixture is actually scheduled.
Guide
Football on Gold365 is the same OTP ID with the football list open: 1X2, totals, live markets where marked — no second ID, no weekly salary.
Events
Knockout football on Gold365: 90 minutes versus extra time versus to-qualify markets. Watch the stream before going live — no fake bracket predictions.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model leans Turkey at 39% against Australia at 31%, with the draw at 30%. It is a modest lean based on team ratings and conditions at Lumen Field, and it is not a guarantee.
The model projects 0-1 at full time and 0-0 at half time. The next likeliest scorelines are 0-1 (11%) and 0-0 (10%).
The likeliest half-time/full-time combination is TUR / TUR at 23%. Both teams to score is 49%, Over 2.5 goals is 42% and combined expected goals are 2.4.
Our watchlist has Ajdin Hrustic (Australia, attacking midfielder), Jamie Maclaren (Australia, striker), Harry Souttar (Australia, centre-back), Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Turkey, midfielder), Cenk Tosun (Turkey, striker), Kaan Ayhan (Turkey, centre-back). These are reference names, not confirmed line-ups. Starting XIs are announced about an hour before kick-off.
It is listed for Friday 19 June 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 ET, which is 9:30 pm IST in India, at Lumen Field, Seattle.
Australia are modelled in a 4-4-2 and Turkey in a 4-2-3-1. Formations are editorial estimates and can change with team news.
The model expects the first goal between minutes 13–49, with 61–75 the busiest 15-minute spell for goals. The chance of a 0-0 draw is 9%.
Yes. Neither Australia nor Turkey is at home, so the model does not apply a venue adjustment.
The 2026 World Cup has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two in each group and the eight best third-placed teams reach the round of 32.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
