AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
India
Day-one score
307–374
Australia
Day-one score
301–366
India vs Australia (3rd Test) at Barsapara Cricket Stadium on 11 Feb 2027: our model leans Australia at 40% on a flat / batting surface, with a projected day-one score after 90 overs of 301–366.
At a glance
AI overview
Australia start as the marginal favourite in the 3rd Test at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, but 27% of our model's weight sits on a draw, so the first two sessions matter most.
The Australia tour of India, 2027 reaches match 3 of 5 when India face Australia in a Test at Barsapara Cricket Stadium. It is listed for Thursday 11 February 2027, with the start at 19:30 IST. India have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better. Barsapara Cricket Stadium is a quick outfield and a true surface, with dew a factor in the evening, so we expect a flat / batting surface with a first-day score around 301–366 for Australia and 307–374 for India.
Dry weather and a hard surface, with dew likely to help the side chasing under lights. Because a draw is a live result here (27%), watch how much time is lost before you read anything into a single session.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
India 33%, draw 27%, Australia 40%. A draw carries real weight in a Test, so read the split as three outcomes rather than two.
Model lean
Australia
40% to win · 7-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Barsapara Cricket Stadium and India's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a true surface, India's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.
Rain and bad light matter more in a longer match, so the draw figure moves first when the forecast changes.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on flat / batting conditions.
India
Batter
Virat Kohli
Boundary-hitter on a true pitch
India
Wicketkeeper
KL Rahul
Top-order stability
Australia
Batter
Marnus Labuschagne
Top-order firepower
Australia
All-rounder
Mitchell Marsh
Two-way match-winner
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected day-one score by session for each side, followed by the cumulative curve across 90 overs.
| Session | India | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1Overs 1–30 | 97–116 | 95–114 |
| Session 2Overs 31–60 | 107–129 | 105–126 |
| Session 3Overs 61–90 | 103–129 | 101–126 |
| Day one, 90 overs | 307–374 | 301–366 |
Overs bowled
After 30 overs
IND 107AUS 105
After 60 overs
IND 225AUS 220
After 90 overs
IND 341AUS 334
Sessions are modelled at 30 overs each, and the totals are for the first 90 overs of a first innings.
Team details
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better.
India come in with a deep batting order, high-quality spin and a pace attack that peaks with the new ball. In this Test, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Barsapara Cricket Stadium suits their batters. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Australia's batting depth.
Australia come in with a high-class pace unit and top-order batters who score quickly on bouncy surfaces. In this Test, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Barsapara Cricket Stadium suits their batters. Their key question is how they handle India's batting depth.
Barsapara Cricket Stadium is a quick outfield and a true surface, with dew a factor in the evening. Our surface tag for this match is flat / batting, with a scoring index of 4 out of 5.
Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Dry weather and a hard surface, with dew likely to help the side chasing under lights.
Venue: Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for India vs Australia, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
Backs a team to win, or the draw. Unlike limited-overs cricket the market has three outcomes.
Model split: India 33%, draw 27%, Australia 40%.
How this market worksA separate market on who wins the coin toss. It settles before the first ball.
Toss lean is to bat first, so watch which captain has to choose.
How this market worksLines on how many runs a side scores in a session, or in a fixed number of overs.
Session 1: India 97–116, Australia 95–114.
How this market worksBets on which side leads after both first innings, or by how many runs.
Day-one projection: India 307–374, Australia 301–366.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer for a team or for the match.
Virat Kohli and Marnus Labuschagne lead our watchlist.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, weather and session results.
Rain delays reset the draw price first, so check the covers.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Barsapara Cricket Stadium is tagged flat / batting. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Watch each session, not just the result
Sessions move prices in a Test. Our projection puts India at 97–116 in Session 1 against Australia's 95–114.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Virat Kohli or Marnus Labuschagne, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
A genuinely close contest
With the model at India 33% and Australia 40%, neither side is far ahead, so prices tend to move a lot on small events.
Match 3 of 5 in the Australia tour of India
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.
Flat / batting conditions add an edge
On a flat / batting surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A Test at Barsapara Cricket Stadium normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
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Answers
Our model gives India 33%, Australia 40% and the draw 27%. Australia are the coin-flip favourite, but this is a Test and results can change quickly with weather and sessions. It is an indicative estimate, not advice.
Barsapara Cricket Stadium is a quick outfield and a true surface, with dew a factor in the evening. We tag it flat / batting with a scoring index of 4 out of 5. Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Our model projects India at 307–374 and Australia at 301–366 for the day-one score after 90 overs. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bat first. A true surface rewards batting first, when the pitch is at its best.
It is listed for Thursday 11 February 2027, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Virat Kohli (India, boundary-hitter on a true pitch), KL Rahul (India, top-order stability), Marnus Labuschagne (Australia, top-order firepower), Mitchell Marsh (Australia, two-way match-winner). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
India play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
A Test can last up to five days with two innings each, so a draw is a real result and sessions matter.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
