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Cricket · 2nd TestMatch 2 of 5Dry / turning

India vs AustraliaIND vs AUS 2nd Test prediction & pitch report

India

Day-one score

288–351

vs

Australia

Day-one score

277–337

IND 50%Draw 14%36% AUS
Start
19:30 IST
Venue
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai
Format
Test match
Jan 202731SunDate is a planning date

India vs Australia (2nd Test) at MA Chidambaram Stadium on 31 Jan 2027: our model leans India at 50% on a dry / turning surface, with a projected day-one score after 90 overs of 288–351.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

India start as the favourite in the 2nd Test at MA Chidambaram Stadium, but 14% of our model's weight sits on a draw, so the first two sessions matter most.

Lean: IndiaSurface: Dry / turningToss: bat firstHome side: India

India meet Australia for match 2 of 5 in the Australia tour of India, 2027, a Test at MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai. It is listed for Sunday 31 January 2027, with the start at 19:30 IST. India have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.

India's edge is their spin attack, while Australia's is their pace attack. The side whose strength suits MA Chidambaram Stadium gets the first say. MA Chidambaram Stadium is a slow, turning surface where spin decides the middle overs, so we expect a dry / turning surface with a first-day score around 288–351 for India and 277–337 for Australia.

Dry weather, with the surface expected to slow and grip as the match goes on. Because a draw is a live result here (14%), watch how much time is lost before you read anything into a single session.

Match ticket

Match details

Series
Australia tour of India, 2027
Stage
2nd Test
Fixture
India vs Australia
Date
Sunday 31 January 2027
Start time
19:30 IST
Venue
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai
Format
Test match
Match number
2 of 5
Surface
Dry / turning
Toss lean
Bat first
Home side
India

Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

India 50%, draw 14%, Australia 36%. A draw carries real weight in a Test, so read the split as three outcomes rather than two.

Model lean

India

50% to win · 14-point gap

IND 50%Draw 14%36% AUS

The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for MA Chidambaram Stadium and India's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.

On a turning surface, India's spinners get the extra weight in the model.

Rain and bad light matter more in a longer match, so the draw figure moves first when the forecast changes.

IndiaAustralia
  • 51BattingTop-order strength and depth49
  • 48Pace attackNew ball and death overs52
  • 54Spin attackMatters most on this surface46
  • 50Red-ball formRecent rating in this format50
  • 62Home conditionsIndia play in familiar conditions38

Impact names

Key players to watch

Four names our model expects to move this match on dry / turning conditions.

  • India

    Spinner

    Kuldeep Yadav

    Wicket-taker in the squeeze

    Impact82%
  • India

    Batter

    Virat Kohli

    Middle-order finisher

    Impact82%
  • Australia

    Fast bowler

    Pat Cummins

    Death-overs specialist

    Impact83%
  • Australia

    All-rounder

    Glenn Maxwell

    Balance of the XI

    Impact81%

These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.

Scoreboard model

Projected scoreline & over-by-over

Projected day-one score by session for each side, followed by the cumulative curve across 90 overs.

Projected runs by phase for India and Australia
SessionIndiaAustralia
Session 1Overs 1–3091–10987–105
Session 2Overs 31–60101–12197–116
Session 3Overs 61–9096–12193–116
Day one, 90 overs288–351277–337
Cumulative runs by overINDAUS
08817526335001836547290

Overs bowled

  • After 30 overs

    IND 100AUS 96

  • After 60 overs

    IND 211AUS 202

  • After 90 overs

    IND 319AUS 307

Sessions are modelled at 30 overs each, and the totals are for the first 90 overs of a first innings.

Team details

About India vs Australia

India's edge is their spin attack, while Australia's is their pace attack. The side whose strength suits MA Chidambaram Stadium gets the first say.

India

  • Batting 90/100
  • Pace 84/100
  • Spin 88/100

India come in with a deep batting order, high-quality spin and a pace attack that peaks with the new ball. In this Test, their spin attack is their strongest suit.

MA Chidambaram Stadium suits their spinners. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Australia's pace attack.

Australia

  • Batting 85/100
  • Pace 90/100
  • Spin 76/100

Australia come in with a high-class pace unit and top-order batters who score quickly on bouncy surfaces. In this Test, their pace attack is their strongest suit.

MA Chidambaram Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle India's spin attack.

IND vs AUS pitch report

Dry / turning
Scoring index

MA Chidambaram Stadium is a slow, turning surface where spin decides the middle overs. Our surface tag for this match is dry / turning, with a scoring index of 3 out of 5.

Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface slows and grips.

Dry weather, with the surface expected to slow and grip as the match goes on.

Venue: MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.

Market guide

Popular betting markets

The markets most followers look at for India vs Australia, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.

  • Match odds (with draw)

    Backs a team to win, or the draw. Unlike limited-overs cricket the market has three outcomes.

    Model split: India 50%, draw 14%, Australia 36%.

    How this market works
  • Toss winner

    A separate market on who wins the coin toss. It settles before the first ball.

    Toss lean is to bat first, so watch which captain has to choose.

    How this market works
  • Session runs

    Lines on how many runs a side scores in a session, or in a fixed number of overs.

    Session 1: India 91–109, Australia 87–105.

    How this market works
  • First-innings lead

    Bets on which side leads after both first innings, or by how many runs.

    Day-one projection: India 288–351, Australia 277–337.

    How this market works
  • Top batter

    Picks the leading run-scorer for a team or for the match.

    Kuldeep Yadav and Pat Cummins lead our watchlist.

    How this market works
  • Live in-play markets

    Prices move ball by ball with wickets, weather and session results.

    Rain delays reset the draw price first, so check the covers.

    How this market works

Betting tips

Betting tips for this match

Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.

  1. 1

    Read the surface before the toss

    MA Chidambaram Stadium is tagged dry / turning. Expect the pitch to slow, so runs come harder later in the match.

  2. 2

    Wait for the toss

    The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.

  3. 3

    Watch each session, not just the result

    Sessions move prices in a Test. Our projection puts India at 91–109 in Session 1 against Australia's 87–105.

  4. 4

    Check the team news

    Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Kuldeep Yadav or Pat Cummins, moves this model by several points.

  5. 5

    Set a limit first

    Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.

The case for this match

Why bet on India vs Australia?

  • Australia keep it interesting

    India are ahead at 50%, but Australia have enough in their pace attack to make the market move quickly.

  • Match 2 of 5 in the Australia tour of India

    Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.

  • Dry / turning conditions add an edge

    On a dry / turning surface the middle overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.

  • Depth of markets

    A Test at MA Chidambaram Stadium normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

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Answers

Questions about India vs Australia

  1. Our model gives India 50%, Australia 36% and the draw 14%. India are the modest favourite, but this is a Test and results can change quickly with weather and sessions. It is an indicative estimate, not advice.

  2. MA Chidambaram Stadium is a slow, turning surface where spin decides the middle overs. We tag it dry / turning with a scoring index of 3 out of 5. Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface slows and grips.

  3. Our model projects India at 288–351 and Australia at 277–337 for the day-one score after 90 overs. Treat these as ranges, not promises.

  4. The lean is to bat first. Batting first gets runs on the board before the surface wears and turns in the fourth innings.

  5. It is listed for Sunday 31 January 2027, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.

  6. Our watchlist has Kuldeep Yadav (India, wicket-taker in the squeeze), Virat Kohli (India, middle-order finisher), Pat Cummins (Australia, death-overs specialist), Glenn Maxwell (Australia, balance of the xi). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.

  7. India play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.

  8. A Test can last up to five days with two innings each, so a draw is a real result and sessions matter.

  9. No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.

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Percentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.