AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Ireland
Projected
221–256
Afghanistan
Projected
241–279
Ireland vs Afghanistan (5th ODI) at Civil Service Cricket Club on 14 Aug 2026: our model leans Afghanistan at 73% on a green / seam surface, with a projected first-innings total of 241–279.
At a glance
AI overview
Afghanistan get the nod at 73% in this 5th ODI, with Ireland at 27%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
The Afghanistan tour of Ireland, 2026 reaches match 5 of 5 when Ireland face Afghanistan in a ODI at Civil Service Cricket Club. It is listed for Friday 14 August 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. Ireland have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Ireland's edge is their pace attack, while Afghanistan's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits Civil Service Cricket Club gets the first say. Civil Service Cricket Club is a small club ground where damp conditions help the seamers, so we expect a green / seam surface with a first-innings score around 241–279 for Afghanistan and 221–256 for Ireland.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather. The toss lean is to bowl first. Early movement makes bowling first attractive while the surface still has life.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
Ireland 27%, Afghanistan 73%. The strong gap leaves room for an upset.
Model lean
Afghanistan
73% to win · 46-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Civil Service Cricket Club and Ireland's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a green / seam surface, Afghanistan's pace group gets the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on green / seam conditions.
Ireland
Fast bowler
Barry McCarthy
Powerplay wickets
Ireland
Wicketkeeper
Lorcan Tucker
Gloveman with power
Afghanistan
Spinner
Rashid Khan
Middle-overs control
Afghanistan
Wicketkeeper
Rahmanullah Gurbaz
Top-order stability
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 50-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | Ireland | Afghanistan |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–10 | 42–48 | 46–52 |
| Middle oversOvers 11–40 | 116–133 | 126–145 |
| Death oversOvers 41–50 | 63–75 | 69–82 |
| First innings | 221–256 | 241–279 |
Overs bowled
After 10 overs
IRE 45AFG 49
After 40 overs
IRE 170AFG 184
After 50 overs
IRE 239AFG 259
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Civil Service Cricket Club. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
Ireland's edge is their pace attack, while Afghanistan's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits Civil Service Cricket Club gets the first say.
Ireland come in with a compact squad that relies on a couple of proven batters and disciplined seam bowling. In this ODI, their pace attack is their strongest suit.
Civil Service Cricket Club is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Afghanistan's spin attack.
Afghanistan come in with world-class spin, fearless hitters at the top and a squad that thrives as the underdog. In this ODI, their spin attack is their strongest suit.
Civil Service Cricket Club is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle Ireland's pace attack.
Civil Service Cricket Club is a small club ground where damp conditions help the seamers. Our surface tag for this match is green / seam, with a scoring index of 2 out of 5.
Sides that bowl first tend to get the best of the conditions.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather.
Venue: Civil Service Cricket Club, Belfast. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for Ireland vs Afghanistan, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: Ireland 27%, Afghanistan 73%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bowl first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 10 overs.
Ireland 42–48, Afghanistan 46–52.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
Ireland 221–256, Afghanistan 241–279.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Barry McCarthy and Lorcan Tucker are on our watchlist for Ireland.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
Ireland usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Civil Service Cricket Club is tagged green / seam. Early movement usually favours the bowlers, so expect early wickets.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bowl first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 42–48 for Ireland and 46–52 for Afghanistan, and the death overs at 63–75 and 69–82.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Barry McCarthy or Rashid Khan, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
Ireland keep it interesting
Afghanistan are ahead at 73%, but Ireland have enough in their pace attack to make the market move quickly.
Match 5 of 5 in the Afghanistan tour of Ireland
Series context shapes selection and tactics. A series decider raises the stakes for both sides.
Green / seam conditions add an edge
On a green / seam surface the early overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A ODI at Civil Service Cricket Club normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
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Answers
Our model leans Afghanistan at 73% against Ireland at 27%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Civil Service Cricket Club, and it is not a guarantee.
Civil Service Cricket Club is a small club ground where damp conditions help the seamers. We tag it green / seam with a scoring index of 2 out of 5. Sides that bowl first tend to get the best of the conditions.
Our model projects Ireland at 221–256 and Afghanistan at 241–279 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bowl first. Early movement makes bowling first attractive while the surface still has life.
It is listed for Friday 14 August 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Civil Service Cricket Club, Belfast. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Barry McCarthy (Ireland, powerplay wickets), Lorcan Tucker (Ireland, gloveman with power), Rashid Khan (Afghanistan, middle-overs control), Rahmanullah Gurbaz (Afghanistan, top-order stability). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
Ireland play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
An ODI gives each side 50 overs. The middle overs shape the platform and the final ten decide close games.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
