AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Ireland
Projected
229–266
Afghanistan
Projected
241–280
Ireland vs Afghanistan (1st ODI) at Bready Cricket Club on 5 Aug 2026: our model leans Afghanistan at 70% on a green / seam surface, with a projected first-innings total of 241–280.
At a glance
AI overview
Afghanistan get the nod at 70% in this 1st ODI, with Ireland at 30%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
Ireland meet Afghanistan for match 1 of 5 in the Afghanistan tour of Ireland, 2026, a ODI at Bready Cricket Club, Bready. It is listed for Wednesday 5 August 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. Ireland have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Ireland's edge is their pace attack, while Afghanistan's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits Bready Cricket Club gets the first say. Bready Cricket Club is a rural ground with a slow outfield and grip for medium pace, so we expect a green / seam surface with a first-innings score around 241–280 for Afghanistan and 229–266 for Ireland.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather. The toss lean is to bowl first. Early movement makes bowling first attractive while the surface still has life.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
Ireland 30%, Afghanistan 70%. The strong gap leaves room for an upset.
Model lean
Afghanistan
70% to win · 40-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Bready Cricket Club and Ireland's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a green / seam surface, Afghanistan's pace group gets the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on green / seam conditions.
Ireland
Fast bowler
Barry McCarthy
New-ball burst
Ireland
All-rounder
Curtis Campher
Balance of the XI
Afghanistan
Fast bowler
Naveen-ul-Haq
Swing threat
Afghanistan
Batter
Ibrahim Zadran
Top-order firepower
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 50-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | Ireland | Afghanistan |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–10 | 44–50 | 46–53 |
| Middle oversOvers 11–40 | 120–138 | 126–145 |
| Death oversOvers 41–50 | 65–78 | 69–82 |
| First innings | 229–266 | 241–280 |
Overs bowled
After 10 overs
IRE 47AFG 49
After 40 overs
IRE 176AFG 185
After 50 overs
IRE 247AFG 260
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Bready Cricket Club. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
Ireland's edge is their pace attack, while Afghanistan's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits Bready Cricket Club gets the first say.
Ireland come in with a compact squad that relies on a couple of proven batters and disciplined seam bowling. In this ODI, their pace attack is their strongest suit.
Bready Cricket Club is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Afghanistan's spin attack.
Afghanistan come in with world-class spin, fearless hitters at the top and a squad that thrives as the underdog. In this ODI, their spin attack is their strongest suit.
Bready Cricket Club is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle Ireland's pace attack.
Bready Cricket Club is a rural ground with a slow outfield and grip for medium pace. Our surface tag for this match is green / seam, with a scoring index of 2 out of 5.
Sides that bowl first tend to get the best of the conditions.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather.
Venue: Bready Cricket Club, Bready. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for Ireland vs Afghanistan, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: Ireland 30%, Afghanistan 70%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bowl first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 10 overs.
Ireland 44–50, Afghanistan 46–53.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
Ireland 229–266, Afghanistan 241–280.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Barry McCarthy and Curtis Campher are on our watchlist for Ireland.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
Ireland usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Bready Cricket Club is tagged green / seam. Early movement usually favours the bowlers, so expect early wickets.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bowl first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 44–50 for Ireland and 46–53 for Afghanistan, and the death overs at 65–78 and 69–82.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Barry McCarthy or Naveen-ul-Haq, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
Ireland keep it interesting
Afghanistan are ahead at 70%, but Ireland have enough in their pace attack to make the market move quickly.
Match 1 of 5 in the Afghanistan tour of Ireland
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Opening matches set the tone, and prices are often wider before form is clear.
Green / seam conditions add an edge
On a green / seam surface the early overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A ODI at Bready Cricket Club normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
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Answers
Our model leans Afghanistan at 70% against Ireland at 30%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Bready Cricket Club, and it is not a guarantee.
Bready Cricket Club is a rural ground with a slow outfield and grip for medium pace. We tag it green / seam with a scoring index of 2 out of 5. Sides that bowl first tend to get the best of the conditions.
Our model projects Ireland at 229–266 and Afghanistan at 241–280 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bowl first. Early movement makes bowling first attractive while the surface still has life.
It is listed for Wednesday 5 August 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Bready Cricket Club, Bready. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Barry McCarthy (Ireland, new-ball burst), Curtis Campher (Ireland, balance of the xi), Naveen-ul-Haq (Afghanistan, swing threat), Ibrahim Zadran (Afghanistan, top-order firepower). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
Ireland play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
An ODI gives each side 50 overs. The middle overs shape the platform and the final ten decide close games.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
