AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
India
Projected
217–250
West Indies
Projected
190–219
India vs West Indies (3rd T20I) at Holkar Stadium on 11 Oct 2026: our model leans India at 82% on a flat / batting surface, with a projected first-innings total of 217–250.
At a glance
AI overview
India get the nod at 82% in this 3rd T20I, with West Indies at 18%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
Holkar Stadium hosts India against West Indies in the 3rd T20I, number 6 in an 8-match West Indies tour of India, 2026. It is listed for Sunday 11 October 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. India have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better. Holkar Stadium is one of the smallest grounds in the country, where sixes come in bunches, so we expect a flat / batting surface with a first-innings score around 217–250 for India and 190–219 for West Indies.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather. The toss lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
India 82%, West Indies 18%. That is a strong lean rather than a lock.
Model lean
India
82% to win · 64-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Holkar Stadium and India's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a true surface, India's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on flat / batting conditions.
India
Batter
Shubman Gill
Top-order firepower
India
All-rounder
Hardik Pandya
Finisher with the ball in hand
West Indies
All-rounder
Andre Russell
Finisher with the ball in hand
West Indies
Wicketkeeper
Shai Hope
Gloveman with power
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 20-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | India | West Indies |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–6 | 64–73 | 56–64 |
| Middle oversOvers 7–15 | 85–97 | 74–85 |
| Death oversOvers 16–20 | 68–80 | 60–70 |
| First innings | 217–250 | 190–219 |
Overs bowled
After 6 overs
IND 69WI 60
After 15 overs
IND 159WI 140
After 20 overs
IND 233WI 204
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Holkar Stadium. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better.
India come in with a deep batting order, high-quality spin and a pace attack that peaks with the new ball. In this T20I, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Holkar Stadium suits their batters. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle West Indies's batting depth.
West Indies come in with big-hitting depth in white-ball cricket and raw pace that can win a session on its own. In this T20I, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Holkar Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle India's batting depth.
Holkar Stadium is one of the smallest grounds in the country, where sixes come in bunches. Our surface tag for this match is flat / batting, with a scoring index of 5 out of 5.
Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather.
Venue: Holkar Stadium, Indore. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for India vs West Indies, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: India 82%, West Indies 18%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bowl first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 6 overs.
India 64–73, West Indies 56–64.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
India 217–250, West Indies 190–219.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Shubman Gill and Hardik Pandya are on our watchlist for India.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
West Indies usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Holkar Stadium is tagged flat / batting. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bowl first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 64–73 for India and 56–64 for West Indies, and the death overs at 68–80 and 60–70.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Shubman Gill or Andre Russell, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
West Indies keep it interesting
India are ahead at 82%, but West Indies have enough in their batting depth to make the market move quickly.
Match 6 of 8 in the West Indies tour of India
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.
Flat / batting conditions add an edge
On a flat / batting surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A T20I at Holkar Stadium normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
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Answers
Our model leans India at 82% against West Indies at 18%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Holkar Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.
Holkar Stadium is one of the smallest grounds in the country, where sixes come in bunches. We tag it flat / batting with a scoring index of 5 out of 5. Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Our model projects India at 217–250 and West Indies at 190–219 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
It is listed for Sunday 11 October 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Holkar Stadium, Indore. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Shubman Gill (India, top-order firepower), Hardik Pandya (India, finisher with the ball in hand), Andre Russell (West Indies, finisher with the ball in hand), Shai Hope (West Indies, gloveman with power). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
India play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
A T20I gives each side 20 overs. The powerplay and death overs carry most of the swing.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
