AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
India
Projected
290–338
West Indies
Projected
258–299
India vs West Indies (1st ODI) at Greenfield International Stadium on 27 Sept 2026: our model leans India at 82% on a balanced surface, with a projected first-innings total of 290–338.
At a glance
AI overview
India get the nod at 82% in this 1st ODI, with West Indies at 18%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
The West Indies tour of India, 2026 reaches match 1 of 8 when India face West Indies in a ODI at Greenfield International Stadium. It is listed for Sunday 27 September 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. India have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better. Greenfield International Stadium is a ground where the ball moves a little early and then settles, so we expect a balanced surface with a first-innings score around 290–338 for India and 258–299 for West Indies.
Rain is a real risk at this time of year, so watch the forecast and the covers around the toss. The toss lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
India 82%, West Indies 18%. The strong gap leaves room for an upset.
Model lean
India
82% to win · 64-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Greenfield International Stadium and India's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a true surface, India's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on balanced conditions.
India
All-rounder
Ravindra Jadeja
Two-way match-winner
India
Batter
Virat Kohli
Middle-order finisher
West Indies
All-rounder
Jason Holder
Balance of the XI
West Indies
Wicketkeeper
Shai Hope
Top-order stability
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 50-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | India | West Indies |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–10 | 55–64 | 49–56 |
| Middle oversOvers 11–40 | 152–175 | 135–155 |
| Death oversOvers 41–50 | 83–99 | 74–88 |
| First innings | 290–338 | 258–299 |
Overs bowled
After 10 overs
IND 59WI 53
After 40 overs
IND 223WI 198
After 50 overs
IND 314WI 279
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Greenfield International Stadium. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better.
India come in with a deep batting order, high-quality spin and a pace attack that peaks with the new ball. In this ODI, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Greenfield International Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle West Indies's batting depth.
West Indies come in with big-hitting depth in white-ball cricket and raw pace that can win a session on its own. In this ODI, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Greenfield International Stadium is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle India's batting depth.
Greenfield International Stadium is a ground where the ball moves a little early and then settles. Our surface tag for this match is balanced, with a scoring index of 3 out of 5.
Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Rain is a real risk at this time of year, so watch the forecast and the covers around the toss.
Venue: Greenfield International Stadium, Thiruvananthapuram. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for India vs West Indies, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: India 82%, West Indies 18%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bowl first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 10 overs.
India 55–64, West Indies 49–56.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
India 290–338, West Indies 258–299.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Ravindra Jadeja and Virat Kohli are on our watchlist for India.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
West Indies usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Greenfield International Stadium is tagged balanced. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bowl first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 55–64 for India and 49–56 for West Indies, and the death overs at 83–99 and 74–88.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Ravindra Jadeja or Jason Holder, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
West Indies keep it interesting
India are ahead at 82%, but West Indies have enough in their batting depth to make the market move quickly.
Match 1 of 8 in the West Indies tour of India
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Opening matches set the tone, and prices are often wider before form is clear.
Balanced conditions add an edge
On a balanced surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A ODI at Greenfield International Stadium normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
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Answers
Our model leans India at 82% against West Indies at 18%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Greenfield International Stadium, and it is not a guarantee.
Greenfield International Stadium is a ground where the ball moves a little early and then settles. We tag it balanced with a scoring index of 3 out of 5. Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Our model projects India at 290–338 and West Indies at 258–299 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
It is listed for Sunday 27 September 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Greenfield International Stadium, Thiruvananthapuram. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Ravindra Jadeja (India, two-way match-winner), Virat Kohli (India, middle-order finisher), Jason Holder (West Indies, balance of the xi), Shai Hope (West Indies, top-order stability). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
India play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
An ODI gives each side 50 overs. The middle overs shape the platform and the final ten decide close games.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
