AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
New Zealand
Projected
173–199
India
Projected
189–218
New Zealand vs India (5th T20I) at Seddon Park on 5 Nov 2026: our model leans India at 72% on a flat / batting surface, with a projected first-innings total of 189–218.
At a glance
AI overview
India get the nod at 72% in this 5th T20I, with New Zealand at 28%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
Seddon Park hosts New Zealand against India in the 5th T20I, number 5 in a 12-match India tour of New Zealand, 2026. It is listed for Thursday 5 November 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. New Zealand have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better. Seddon Park is a batting-friendly surface with a quick outfield and short straight boundaries, so we expect a flat / batting surface with a first-innings score around 189–218 for India and 173–199 for New Zealand.
Changeable weather is normal, and a cool, overcast morning suits the seamers. The toss lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
New Zealand 28%, India 72%. That is a strong lean rather than a lock.
Model lean
India
72% to win · 44-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Seddon Park and New Zealand's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a true surface, India's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on flat / batting conditions.
New Zealand
All-rounder
Daryl Mitchell
Two-way match-winner
New Zealand
Spinner
Ish Sodhi
Middle-overs control
India
Wicketkeeper
KL Rahul
Gloveman with power
India
Batter
Shreyas Iyer
Boundary-hitter on a true pitch
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 20-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | New Zealand | India |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–6 | 51–58 | 56–64 |
| Middle oversOvers 7–15 | 68–77 | 74–84 |
| Death oversOvers 16–20 | 54–64 | 59–70 |
| First innings | 173–199 | 189–218 |
Overs bowled
After 6 overs
NZ 55IND 60
After 15 overs
NZ 127IND 139
After 20 overs
NZ 186IND 203
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Seddon Park. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
Both sides lean on their batting depth, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better.
New Zealand come in with disciplined seam bowling, sharp fielding and a batting order that rarely panics. In this T20I, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Seddon Park is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle India's batting depth.
India come in with a deep batting order, high-quality spin and a pace attack that peaks with the new ball. In this T20I, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Seddon Park suits their batters. Their key question is how they handle New Zealand's batting depth.
Seddon Park is a batting-friendly surface with a quick outfield and short straight boundaries. Our surface tag for this match is flat / batting, with a scoring index of 4 out of 5.
Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Changeable weather is normal, and a cool, overcast morning suits the seamers.
Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for New Zealand vs India, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: New Zealand 28%, India 72%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bowl first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 6 overs.
New Zealand 51–58, India 56–64.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
New Zealand 173–199, India 189–218.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Daryl Mitchell and Ish Sodhi are on our watchlist for New Zealand.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
New Zealand usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Seddon Park is tagged flat / batting. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bowl first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 51–58 for New Zealand and 56–64 for India, and the death overs at 54–64 and 59–70.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Daryl Mitchell or KL Rahul, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
New Zealand keep it interesting
India are ahead at 72%, but New Zealand have enough in their batting depth to make the market move quickly.
Match 5 of 12 in the India tour of New Zealand
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.
Flat / batting conditions add an edge
On a flat / batting surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A T20I at Seddon Park normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Same series
Read before you follow
Events
Use your existing Gold365 cricket ID for an India vs New Zealand final. Fund early, don't re-register.
Events
Open the India vs New Zealand T20 World Cup final on Gold365 if that fixture is confirmed.
Analysis
Find the 4th T20 between India and New Zealand on Gold365 using the numbered fixture - this page makes no score prediction.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model leans India at 72% against New Zealand at 28%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Seddon Park, and it is not a guarantee.
Seddon Park is a batting-friendly surface with a quick outfield and short straight boundaries. We tag it flat / batting with a scoring index of 4 out of 5. Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Our model projects New Zealand at 173–199 and India at 189–218 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bowl first. Most captains chase on a true surface because they can pace the innings to a target.
It is listed for Thursday 5 November 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Seddon Park, Hamilton. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Daryl Mitchell (New Zealand, two-way match-winner), Ish Sodhi (New Zealand, middle-overs control), KL Rahul (India, gloveman with power), Shreyas Iyer (India, boundary-hitter on a true pitch). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
New Zealand play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
A T20I gives each side 20 overs. The powerplay and death overs carry most of the swing.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
