AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Australia
Projected
247–287
England
Projected
242–281
Australia vs England (3rd ODI) at Bellerive Oval on 18 Nov 2026: our model leans Australia at 69% on a green / seam surface, with a projected first-innings total of 247–287.
At a glance
AI overview
Australia get the nod at 69% in this 3rd ODI, with England at 31%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
Bellerive Oval hosts Australia against England in the 3rd ODI, number 3 in an 8-match England tour of Australia, 2026. It is listed for Wednesday 18 November 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. Australia have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Both sides lean on their pace attack, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the new ball better. Bellerive Oval is a cool, breezy ground where seam movement is regularly on offer, so we expect a green / seam surface with a first-innings score around 247–287 for Australia and 242–281 for England.
Summer heat dries the surface, so bounce holds up and the outfield stays quick. The toss lean is to bowl first. Early movement makes bowling first attractive while the surface still has life.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
Australia 69%, England 31%. That is a strong lean rather than a lock.
Model lean
Australia
69% to win · 38-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Bellerive Oval and Australia's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a green / seam surface, Australia's pace group gets the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on green / seam conditions.
Australia
Fast bowler
Pat Cummins
New-ball burst
Australia
All-rounder
Cameron Green
Two-way match-winner
England
Batter
Joe Root
Anchor of the innings
England
Fast bowler
Chris Woakes
Swing threat
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 50-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | Australia | England |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–10 | 47–54 | 46–53 |
| Middle oversOvers 11–40 | 129–149 | 127–146 |
| Death oversOvers 41–50 | 71–84 | 69–82 |
| First innings | 247–287 | 242–281 |
Overs bowled
After 10 overs
AUS 51ENG 49
After 40 overs
AUS 190ENG 186
After 50 overs
AUS 267ENG 262
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for Bellerive Oval. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
Both sides lean on their pace attack, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the new ball better.
Australia come in with a high-class pace unit and top-order batters who score quickly on bouncy surfaces. In this ODI, their pace attack is their strongest suit.
Bellerive Oval suits their pace group. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle England's pace attack.
England come in with an aggressive, front-foot batting group and a pace attack that likes helpful conditions. In this ODI, their pace attack is their strongest suit.
Bellerive Oval suits their pace group. Their key question is how they handle Australia's pace attack.
Bellerive Oval is a cool, breezy ground where seam movement is regularly on offer. Our surface tag for this match is green / seam, with a scoring index of 2 out of 5.
Sides that bowl first tend to get the best of the conditions.
Summer heat dries the surface, so bounce holds up and the outfield stays quick.
Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for Australia vs England, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: Australia 69%, England 31%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bowl first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 10 overs.
Australia 47–54, England 46–53.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
Australia 247–287, England 242–281.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Pat Cummins and Cameron Green are on our watchlist for Australia.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
England usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Bellerive Oval is tagged green / seam. Early movement usually favours the bowlers, so expect early wickets.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bowl first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 47–54 for Australia and 46–53 for England, and the death overs at 71–84 and 69–82.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Pat Cummins or Joe Root, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
England keep it interesting
Australia are ahead at 69%, but England have enough in their pace attack to make the market move quickly.
Match 3 of 8 in the England tour of Australia
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.
Green / seam conditions add an edge
On a green / seam surface the early overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A ODI at Bellerive Oval normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
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Answers
Our model leans Australia at 69% against England at 31%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at Bellerive Oval, and it is not a guarantee.
Bellerive Oval is a cool, breezy ground where seam movement is regularly on offer. We tag it green / seam with a scoring index of 2 out of 5. Sides that bowl first tend to get the best of the conditions.
Our model projects Australia at 247–287 and England at 242–281 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bowl first. Early movement makes bowling first attractive while the surface still has life.
It is listed for Wednesday 18 November 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Bellerive Oval, Hobart. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Pat Cummins (Australia, new-ball burst), Cameron Green (Australia, two-way match-winner), Joe Root (England, anchor of the innings), Chris Woakes (England, swing threat). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
Australia play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
An ODI gives each side 50 overs. The middle overs shape the platform and the final ten decide close games.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
