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Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.

Cricket · One-off TestMatch 1 of 7Balanced

Zimbabwe vs BangladeshZIM vs BAN One-off Test prediction & pitch report

Zimbabwe

Day-one score

252–307

vs

Bangladesh

Day-one score

275–334

ZIM 22%Draw 15%63% BAN
Start
19:30 IST
Venue
Harare Sports Club, Harare
Format
Test match
Jun 202628SunDate is a planning date

Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh (One-off Test) at Harare Sports Club on 28 Jun 2026: our model leans Bangladesh at 63% on a balanced surface, with a projected day-one score after 90 overs of 275–334.

At a glance

AI match overview

AI overview

Bangladesh start as the favourite in the One-off Test at Harare Sports Club, but 15% of our model's weight sits on a draw, so the first two sessions matter most.

Lean: BangladeshSurface: BalancedToss: bat firstHome side: Zimbabwe

Harare Sports Club hosts Zimbabwe against Bangladesh in the One-off Test, number 1 in a 7-match Bangladesh tour of Zimbabwe, 2026. It is listed for Sunday 28 June 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. Zimbabwe have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.

Both sides lean on their spin attack, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better. Harare Sports Club is a high-altitude ground where the ball comes onto the bat and seam helps early, so we expect a balanced surface with a first-day score around 275–334 for Bangladesh and 252–307 for Zimbabwe.

Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather. Because a draw is a live result here (15%), watch how much time is lost before you read anything into a single session.

Match ticket

Match details

Series
Bangladesh tour of Zimbabwe, 2026
Stage
One-off Test
Fixture
Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh
Date
Sunday 28 June 2026
Start time
19:30 IST
Venue
Harare Sports Club, Harare
Format
Test match
Match number
1 of 7
Surface
Balanced
Toss lean
Bat first
Home side
Zimbabwe

Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.

Win probability

Who will win today's match?

Zimbabwe 22%, draw 15%, Bangladesh 63%. A draw carries real weight in a Test, so read the split as three outcomes rather than two.

Model lean

Bangladesh

63% to win · 41-point gap

ZIM 22%Draw 15%63% BAN

The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Harare Sports Club and Zimbabwe's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.

On a true surface, Bangladesh's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.

Rain and bad light matter more in a longer match, so the draw figure moves first when the forecast changes.

ZimbabweBangladesh
  • 46BattingTop-order strength and depth54
  • 47Pace attackNew ball and death overs53
  • 46Spin attackMiddle-overs control54
  • 41Red-ball formRecent rating in this format59
  • 62Home conditionsZimbabwe play in familiar conditions38

Impact names

Key players to watch

Four names our model expects to move this match on balanced conditions.

  • Zimbabwe

    All-rounder

    Sikandar Raza

    Partnership breaker

    Impact86%
  • Zimbabwe

    Fast bowler

    Blessing Muzarabani

    Death-overs specialist

    Impact83%
  • Bangladesh

    All-rounder

    Shakib Al Hasan

    Two-way match-winner

    Impact85%
  • Bangladesh

    Batter

    Najmul Hossain Shanto

    Top-order firepower

    Impact77%

These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.

Scoreboard model

Projected scoreline & over-by-over

Projected day-one score by session for each side, followed by the cumulative curve across 90 overs.

Projected runs by phase for Zimbabwe and Bangladesh
SessionZimbabweBangladesh
Session 1Overs 1–3080–9587–104
Session 2Overs 31–6088–10696–115
Session 3Overs 61–9084–10692–115
Day one, 90 overs252–307275–334
Cumulative runs by overZIMBAN
08817526335001836547290

Overs bowled

  • After 30 overs

    ZIM 88BAN 95

  • After 60 overs

    ZIM 184BAN 201

  • After 90 overs

    ZIM 279BAN 305

Sessions are modelled at 30 overs each, and the totals are for the first 90 overs of a first innings.

Team details

About Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh

Both sides lean on their spin attack, so the contest is likely to be decided by whoever handles the big overs better.

Zimbabwe

  • Batting 56/100
  • Pace 58/100
  • Spin 62/100

Zimbabwe come in with a young batting group built around one or two match-winners and a handy spin option. In this Test, their spin attack is their strongest suit.

Harare Sports Club is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Bangladesh's spin attack.

Bangladesh

  • Batting 66/100
  • Pace 66/100
  • Spin 74/100

Bangladesh come in with canny spin, a fighting middle order and a record that improves sharply at home. In this Test, their spin attack is their strongest suit.

Harare Sports Club is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle Zimbabwe's spin attack.

ZIM vs BAN pitch report

Balanced
Scoring index

Harare Sports Club is a high-altitude ground where the ball comes onto the bat and seam helps early. Our surface tag for this match is balanced, with a scoring index of 3 out of 5.

A true surface lets either side control the game, so the toss matters less.

Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather.

Venue: Harare Sports Club, Harare. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.

Market guide

Popular betting markets

The markets most followers look at for Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.

  • Match odds (with draw)

    Backs a team to win, or the draw. Unlike limited-overs cricket the market has three outcomes.

    Model split: Zimbabwe 22%, draw 15%, Bangladesh 63%.

    How this market works
  • Toss winner

    A separate market on who wins the coin toss. It settles before the first ball.

    Toss lean is to bat first, so watch which captain has to choose.

    How this market works
  • Session runs

    Lines on how many runs a side scores in a session, or in a fixed number of overs.

    Session 1: Zimbabwe 80–95, Bangladesh 87–104.

    How this market works
  • First-innings lead

    Bets on which side leads after both first innings, or by how many runs.

    Day-one projection: Zimbabwe 252–307, Bangladesh 275–334.

    How this market works
  • Top batter

    Picks the leading run-scorer for a team or for the match.

    Sikandar Raza and Shakib Al Hasan lead our watchlist.

    How this market works
  • Live in-play markets

    Prices move ball by ball with wickets, weather and session results.

    Rain delays reset the draw price first, so check the covers.

    How this market works

Betting tips

Betting tips for this match

Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.

  1. 1

    Read the surface before the toss

    Harare Sports Club is tagged balanced. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.

  2. 2

    Wait for the toss

    The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.

  3. 3

    Watch each session, not just the result

    Sessions move prices in a Test. Our projection puts Zimbabwe at 80–95 in Session 1 against Bangladesh's 87–104.

  4. 4

    Check the team news

    Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Sikandar Raza or Shakib Al Hasan, moves this model by several points.

  5. 5

    Set a limit first

    Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.

The case for this match

Why bet on Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh?

  • Zimbabwe keep it interesting

    Bangladesh are ahead at 63%, but Zimbabwe have enough in their spin attack to make the market move quickly.

  • Match 1 of 7 in the Bangladesh tour of Zimbabwe

    Series context shapes selection and tactics. Opening matches set the tone, and prices are often wider before form is clear.

  • Balanced conditions add an edge

    On a balanced surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.

  • Depth of markets

    A Test at Harare Sports Club normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.

For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.

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Answers

Questions about Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh

  1. Our model gives Zimbabwe 22%, Bangladesh 63% and the draw 15%. Bangladesh are the strong favourite, but this is a Test and results can change quickly with weather and sessions. It is an indicative estimate, not advice.

  2. Harare Sports Club is a high-altitude ground where the ball comes onto the bat and seam helps early. We tag it balanced with a scoring index of 3 out of 5. A true surface lets either side control the game, so the toss matters less.

  3. Our model projects Zimbabwe at 252–307 and Bangladesh at 275–334 for the day-one score after 90 overs. Treat these as ranges, not promises.

  4. The lean is to bat first. A true surface rewards batting first, when the pitch is at its best.

  5. It is listed for Sunday 28 June 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Harare Sports Club, Harare. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.

  6. Our watchlist has Sikandar Raza (Zimbabwe, partnership breaker), Blessing Muzarabani (Zimbabwe, death-overs specialist), Shakib Al Hasan (Bangladesh, two-way match-winner), Najmul Hossain Shanto (Bangladesh, top-order firepower). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.

  7. Zimbabwe play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.

  8. A Test can last up to five days with two innings each, so a draw is a real result and sessions matter.

  9. No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.

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Percentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.