AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
South Africa
Projected
279–324
Bangladesh
Projected
257–299
South Africa vs Bangladesh (2nd ODI) at St George's Park on 27 Nov 2026: our model leans South Africa at 80% on a dry / turning surface, with a projected first-innings total of 279–324.
At a glance
AI overview
South Africa get the nod at 80% in this 2nd ODI, with Bangladesh at 20%. It is a strong lean, not a lock.
St George's Park hosts South Africa against Bangladesh in the 2nd ODI, number 4 in an 8-match Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026. It is listed for Friday 27 November 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. South Africa have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
South Africa's edge is their pace attack, while Bangladesh's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits St George's Park gets the first say. St George's Park is a slower surface that gives spinners more of a say than most grounds in the country, so we expect a dry / turning surface with a first-innings score around 279–324 for South Africa and 257–299 for Bangladesh.
Warm days keep the surface hard, with afternoon storms possible on the highveld. The toss lean is to bat first. The surface is expected to slow and grip, so setting a target is the safer plan.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
South Africa 80%, Bangladesh 20%. That is a strong lean rather than a lock.
Model lean
South Africa
80% to win · 60-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for St George's Park and South Africa's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a turning surface, South Africa's spinners get the extra weight in the model.
The toss can shift this by a few points either way, so check the split again once the captains have spoken.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on dry / turning conditions.
South Africa
Spinner
Tabraiz Shamsi
Middle-overs control
South Africa
Batter
David Miller
Anchor of the innings
Bangladesh
Fast bowler
Mustafizur Rahman
Death-overs specialist
Bangladesh
Spinner
Mehidy Hasan Miraz
Wicket-taker in the squeeze
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected runs for each phase of the 50-over innings, followed by the cumulative over-by-over curve.
| Phase | South Africa | Bangladesh |
|---|---|---|
| PowerplayOvers 1–10 | 53–61 | 49–56 |
| Middle oversOvers 11–40 | 146–168 | 135–155 |
| Death oversOvers 41–50 | 80–95 | 73–88 |
| First innings | 279–324 | 257–299 |
Overs bowled
After 10 overs
SA 57BAN 53
After 40 overs
SA 214BAN 198
After 50 overs
SA 301BAN 278
Ranges cover roughly a normal spread of outcomes for St George's Park. A collapse or a big partnership can sit well outside them.
Team details
South Africa's edge is their pace attack, while Bangladesh's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits St George's Park gets the first say.
South Africa come in with express pace, powerful hitting through the middle and strong home-conditions knowledge. In this ODI, their pace attack is their strongest suit.
St George's Park is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Bangladesh's spin attack.
Bangladesh come in with canny spin, a fighting middle order and a record that improves sharply at home. In this ODI, their spin attack is their strongest suit.
St George's Park is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle South Africa's pace attack.
St George's Park is a slower surface that gives spinners more of a say than most grounds in the country. Our surface tag for this match is dry / turning, with a scoring index of 3 out of 5.
Setting a target tends to pay, because the pitch is expected to get harder to bat on.
Warm days keep the surface hard, with afternoon storms possible on the highveld.
Venue: St George's Park, Gqeberha. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for South Africa vs Bangladesh, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
A straight pick on which team wins. In limited-overs cricket there are two outcomes, plus a tie or no result.
Model split: South Africa 80%, Bangladesh 20%.
How this market worksA market on the coin toss that settles before play starts.
Toss lean is to bat first on this surface.
How this market worksA session-style line on how many runs a side scores in the first 10 overs.
South Africa 53–61, Bangladesh 49–56.
How this market worksOver-or-under lines on a side's final first-innings score.
South Africa 279–324, Bangladesh 257–299.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer or wicket-taker for a team or the match.
Tabraiz Shamsi and David Miller are on our watchlist for South Africa.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, run rate and required rate.
Bangladesh usually see the biggest swing if they take early wickets.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
St George's Park is tagged dry / turning. Expect the pitch to slow, so runs come harder later in the match.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Trade the powerplay and the death overs separately
Our projection puts the powerplay at 53–61 for South Africa and 49–56 for Bangladesh, and the death overs at 80–95 and 73–88.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Tabraiz Shamsi or Mustafizur Rahman, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
Bangladesh keep it interesting
South Africa are ahead at 80%, but Bangladesh have enough in their spin attack to make the market move quickly.
Match 4 of 8 in the Bangladesh tour of South Africa
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Results earlier in the series give a clearer read on form and combinations.
Dry / turning conditions add an edge
On a dry / turning surface the middle overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A ODI at St George's Park normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
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Answers
Our model leans South Africa at 80% against Bangladesh at 20%, a strong lean. It is based on team ratings and conditions at St George's Park, and it is not a guarantee.
St George's Park is a slower surface that gives spinners more of a say than most grounds in the country. We tag it dry / turning with a scoring index of 3 out of 5. Setting a target tends to pay, because the pitch is expected to get harder to bat on.
Our model projects South Africa at 279–324 and Bangladesh at 257–299 for the first-innings total. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bat first. The surface is expected to slow and grip, so setting a target is the safer plan.
It is listed for Friday 27 November 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at St George's Park, Gqeberha. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Tabraiz Shamsi (South Africa, middle-overs control), David Miller (South Africa, anchor of the innings), Mustafizur Rahman (Bangladesh, death-overs specialist), Mehidy Hasan Miraz (Bangladesh, wicket-taker in the squeeze). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
South Africa play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
An ODI gives each side 50 overs. The middle overs shape the platform and the final ten decide close games.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
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Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
