AI overview · What this page shows
Match details with competition, start time and exchange-style back and lay prices where a market is open. Figures move constantly and are published for information only, never as advice or a prediction.
Australia
Day-one score
318–387
Bangladesh
Day-one score
263–322
Australia vs Bangladesh (1st Test) at Marrara Cricket Ground on 13 Aug 2026: our model leans Australia at 72% on a flat / batting surface, with a projected day-one score after 90 overs of 318–387.
At a glance
AI overview
Australia start as the favourite in the 1st Test at Marrara Cricket Ground, but 26% of our model's weight sits on a draw, so the first two sessions matter most.
Marrara Cricket Ground hosts Australia against Bangladesh in the 1st Test, number 1 in a 2-match Bangladesh tour of Australia, 2026. It is listed for Thursday 13 August 2026, with the start at 19:30 IST. Australia have home conditions on their side, which our model counts as a small edge.
Australia's edge is their batting depth, while Bangladesh's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits Marrara Cricket Ground gets the first say. Marrara Cricket Ground is a hot, dry ground with a low, true surface and quick scoring, so we expect a flat / batting surface with a first-day score around 318–387 for Australia and 263–322 for Bangladesh.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather. Because a draw is a live result here (26%), watch how much time is lost before you read anything into a single session.
Match ticket
Cricket dates follow each series window, so confirm the exact day with the host board.
Win probability
Australia 72%, draw 26%, Bangladesh 2%. A draw carries real weight in a Test, so read the split as three outcomes rather than two.
Model lean
Australia
72% to win · 70-point gap
The split comes from batting, pace and spin ratings for both teams, adjusted for Marrara Cricket Ground and Australia's home conditions. It is an indicative model, not a live market price and not betting advice.
On a true surface, Australia's batting depth gets the extra weight in the model.
Rain and bad light matter more in a longer match, so the draw figure moves first when the forecast changes.
Impact names
Four names our model expects to move this match on flat / batting conditions.
Australia
Batter
Marnus Labuschagne
Top-order firepower
Australia
All-rounder
Glenn Maxwell
Balance of the XI
Bangladesh
Batter
Najmul Hossain Shanto
Boundary-hitter on a true pitch
Bangladesh
All-rounder
Mahmudullah
Partnership breaker
These names come from a reference list and are not a confirmed selection. Check the official team announcement close to the toss.
Scoreboard model
Projected day-one score by session for each side, followed by the cumulative curve across 90 overs.
| Session | Australia | Bangladesh |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1Overs 1–30 | 101–121 | 83–100 |
| Session 2Overs 31–60 | 111–133 | 92–111 |
| Session 3Overs 61–90 | 106–133 | 88–111 |
| Day one, 90 overs | 318–387 | 263–322 |
Overs bowled
After 30 overs
AUS 111BAN 92
After 60 overs
AUS 233BAN 193
After 90 overs
AUS 353BAN 293
Sessions are modelled at 30 overs each, and the totals are for the first 90 overs of a first innings.
Team details
Australia's edge is their batting depth, while Bangladesh's is their spin attack. The side whose strength suits Marrara Cricket Ground gets the first say.
Australia come in with a high-class pace unit and top-order batters who score quickly on bouncy surfaces. In this Test, their batting depth is their strongest suit.
Marrara Cricket Ground suits their batters. Familiar home conditions help their planning. Their key question is how they handle Bangladesh's spin attack.
Bangladesh come in with canny spin, a fighting middle order and a record that improves sharply at home. In this Test, their spin attack is their strongest suit.
Marrara Cricket Ground is a fair test rather than an obvious fit. Their key question is how they handle Australia's batting depth.
Marrara Cricket Ground is a hot, dry ground with a low, true surface and quick scoring. Our surface tag for this match is flat / batting, with a scoring index of 4 out of 5.
Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Conditions look settled, so the surface and the toss should matter more than the weather.
Venue: Marrara Cricket Ground, Darwin. Surface tags are editorial estimates and can change on the day.
Market guide
The markets most followers look at for Australia vs Bangladesh, with what our model says for each. These are reference figures, not live prices.
Backs a team to win, or the draw. Unlike limited-overs cricket the market has three outcomes.
Model split: Australia 72%, draw 26%, Bangladesh 2%.
How this market worksA separate market on who wins the coin toss. It settles before the first ball.
Toss lean is to bat first, so watch which captain has to choose.
How this market worksLines on how many runs a side scores in a session, or in a fixed number of overs.
Session 1: Australia 101–121, Bangladesh 83–100.
How this market worksBets on which side leads after both first innings, or by how many runs.
Day-one projection: Australia 318–387, Bangladesh 263–322.
How this market worksPicks the leading run-scorer for a team or for the match.
Marnus Labuschagne and Najmul Hossain Shanto lead our watchlist.
How this market worksPrices move ball by ball with wickets, weather and session results.
Rain delays reset the draw price first, so check the covers.
How this market worksBetting tips
Practical points to check before you act. None of these is a guarantee.
Read the surface before the toss
Marrara Cricket Ground is tagged flat / batting. Expect scores at or above the ground average once batters are set.
Wait for the toss
The lean is to bat first. If a captain does the opposite, treat it as new information and check the split again before you act.
Watch each session, not just the result
Sessions move prices in a Test. Our projection puts Australia at 101–121 in Session 1 against Bangladesh's 83–100.
Check the team news
Playing XIs are announced close to the toss. A missing key player, such as Marnus Labuschagne or Najmul Hossain Shanto, moves this model by several points.
Set a limit first
Decide what you can afford before the match starts and stop when you reach it. No model, tip or past result guarantees an outcome.
The case for this match
Bangladesh keep it interesting
Australia are ahead at 72%, but Bangladesh have enough in their spin attack to make the market move quickly.
Match 1 of 2 in the Bangladesh tour of Australia
Series context shapes selection and tactics. Opening matches set the tone, and prices are often wider before form is clear.
Flat / batting conditions add an edge
On a flat / batting surface the big overs tend to carry the most information, so live markets can move quickly.
Depth of markets
A Test at Marrara Cricket Ground normally carries match odds, toss, session runs and player markets, so you can follow one game several ways.
For adults 18 and over. Betting can lead to loss, so only use money you can afford to lose.
Same series
Read before you follow
Guide
The Gold365 exchange is the live cricket pricing board on your ID: match winner, sessions, totals and cash-out on eligible markets, one login.
Guide
The Gold365 betting site in one place: get an ID on WhatsApp, fund the wallet, open cricket or casino, and fix a login problem fast.
Guide
Betting exchange markets are the priced rows on any fixture: match winner, totals, sessions and player props, all under one Gold365 ID.
Keep exploring
Answers
Our model gives Australia 72%, Bangladesh 2% and the draw 26%. Australia are the strong favourite, but this is a Test and results can change quickly with weather and sessions. It is an indicative estimate, not advice.
Marrara Cricket Ground is a hot, dry ground with a low, true surface and quick scoring. We tag it flat / batting with a scoring index of 4 out of 5. Batting looks easier early, so the side that wins the powerplay tends to hold the edge.
Our model projects Australia at 318–387 and Bangladesh at 263–322 for the day-one score after 90 overs. Treat these as ranges, not promises.
The lean is to bat first. A true surface rewards batting first, when the pitch is at its best.
It is listed for Thursday 13 August 2026, with a scheduled start of 19:30 IST, at Marrara Cricket Ground, Darwin. Cricket schedules in our source list a date window for each series, so this day is a planning date. Confirm the exact day with the host board before you plan around it.
Our watchlist has Marnus Labuschagne (Australia, top-order firepower), Glenn Maxwell (Australia, balance of the xi), Najmul Hossain Shanto (Bangladesh, boundary-hitter on a true pitch), Mahmudullah (Bangladesh, partnership breaker). These are reference names and not confirmed selections. The playing XI is announced close to the toss.
Australia play at home, which our model counts as a small edge because they know the surface and conditions.
A Test can last up to five days with two innings each, so a draw is a real result and sessions matter.
No. The percentages, projections and market notes are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not advice and not a guarantee. Betting is for adults 18 and over, and you should set a limit before you start.
Cannot find what you need? Our official WhatsApp desk replies with your ID and a screenshot.
Ask on WhatsAppPercentages, projections and player impact scores are an indicative model for information only. They are not live prices, not betting advice and not a guarantee of any result. Dates and times can change, so confirm them with the organiser. For adults 18 and over. Play responsibly and set limits.
